Wed, Nov 24, 2010·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale
Columbus Blue Jackets 4, New York Islanders 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 217 | 19 | 010 | 12 | 438 |
| NYI | 19 | 29 | 05 | 01 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:16NYITrent HunterAssists: Frans Nielsen, Michael Grabner · Snap, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 13:48CBJAntoine VermettePPAssists: Derick Brassard, Kris Russell · Tip-in, 0.19 xG1–1
- P1 15:58CBJChris ClarkAssists: Antoine Vermette, R.J. Umberger · Snap, 0.33 xG2–1
- P2 0:51NYIMichael GrabnerAssists: Frans Nielsen, Trent Hunter · Backhand, 0.22 xG2–2
- P2 2:24NYIJohn TavaresAssists: Bruno Gervais, PA Parenteau · Backhand, 0.17 xG2–3
- P2 6:46CBJR.J. UmbergerAssists: Jan Hejda, Derek Dorsett · Wrist, 0.36 xG3–3
- OT 2:31CBJJakub VoracekGWGAssists: Kris Russell · Tip-in, 0.30 xG4–3
Penalties (13)
- P1 9:57NYITrevor Gillies: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 9:57CBJJared Boll: Roughing2 min
- P1 9:57CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:57NYITrevor Gillies: Instigator2 min
- P1 9:57NYITrevor Gillies: Misconduct10 min
- P1 12:01NYIMatt Martin: Boarding2 min
- P1 12:07NYIZenon Konopka: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P2 6:46CBJDerek Dorsett: Cross checking2 min
- P2 6:46NYITravis Hamonic: Cross checking2 min
- P2 10:13CBJMike Commodore: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:50NYIMatt Martin: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:24CBJR.J. Umberger: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:47NYIRob Schremp: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Konopka won the faceoff against Pahlsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Clark – Pahlsson – Murray6:49
xG 0.08–0.08 (48%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Pahlsson – Murray – Dorsett2:33
xG 0.01–0.03 (24%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Nash – Brassard – Voracek12:31
xG 0.69–0.74 (48%)attempts 15–14goals 0–2
- MacKenzie – Wilson – Boll5:14
xG 0.04–0.10 (27%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Hejda3:36
xG 1.01–0.15 (87%)attempts 10–1goals 1–0
- Hejda – Stralman12:39
xG 0.52–0.40 (56%)attempts 10–7goals 1–1
- Klesla – Stralman2:01
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestParenteau – Moulson – Tavares13:01
xG 0.84–0.37 (69%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
- Konopka – Joensuu – Martin3:57
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Hunter – Nielsen – Grabner8:11
xG 0.60–0.62 (49%)attempts 10–7goals 2–1
- Schremp – Comeau – Martin4:27
xG 0.15–0.27 (36%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Martinek – Wisniewski2:12
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Wisniewski – Hamonic17:25
xG 0.92–1.08 (46%)attempts 16–13goals 0–1
- Gervais – Reese12:54
xG 0.46–0.65 (41%)attempts 10–14goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).