Sat, Nov 27, 2010·Prudential Center, Newark
Philadelphia Flyers 1, New Jersey Devils 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 010 | 014 | 114 | 03 | 1 | 141 |
| NJD | 111 | 06 | 05 | 03 | 2 | 225 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:49NJDAdam MairAssists: David Clarkson, Brian Rolston · Snap, 0.03 xG0–1
- P3 8:38PHIDaniel BrièrePPAssists: Scott Hartnell, Jeff Carter · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. PHI Claude Giroux stopped
- 2. NJD Ilya Kovalchuk stopped
- 3. PHI Daniel Brière stopped
- 4. NJD Mattias Tedenby stopped
- 5. PHI Nikolay Zherdev scored
- 6. NJD Jason Arnott scored
- 7. PHI Mike Richards stopped
- 8. NJD Travis Zajac scored
Penalties (4)
- P1 1:52PHIScott Hartnell: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 12:46NJDStephen Gionta: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 7:41PHIDaniel Brière: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:49NJDAndy Greene: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richards won the faceoff against Arnott
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestRichards – Nodl – van Riemsdyk13:20
xG 0.49–0.22 (69%)attempts 15–10goals 0–0
- Carter – Giroux – Powe3:16
xG 0.12–0.02 (86%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Shelley – Betts – Powe4:32
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Zherdev – Carter – Giroux7:26
xG 0.18–0.19 (48%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPronger – Carle17:12
xG 0.36–0.17 (68%)attempts 13–6goals 0–1
- Timonen – Coburn14:50
xG 0.79–0.78 (50%)attempts 21–13goals 0–0
- Coburn – Carle2:50
xG 0.14–0.20 (40%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestKovalchuk – Pelley – Gionta2:27
xG 0.49–0.21 (70%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Rolston – Mair – Clarkson8:19
xG 0.30–0.15 (66%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Kovalchuk – Zajac – Tedenby9:07
xG 0.55–0.42 (57%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
- Arnott – Zubrus – Vasyunov9:25
xG 0.07–0.14 (34%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFayne – Greene17:11
xG 1.05–0.22 (82%)attempts 17–11goals 0–0
- Volchenkov – Magnan14:38
xG 0.74–0.85 (46%)attempts 12–18goals 1–0
- White – Tallinder17:30
xG 0.15–0.39 (28%)attempts 3–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).