Sun, Nov 28, 2010·Philips Arena, Atlanta
Boston Bruins 1, Atlanta Thrashers 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 010 | 117 | 014 | 141 |
| ATL | 312 | 18 | 06 | 426 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:32ATLEvander KaneAssists: Anthony Stewart, Dustin Byfuglien · Tip-in, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 12:22ATLDustin ByfuglienGWGAssists: Alexander Burmistrov, Johnny Oduya · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–2
- P1 14:42ATLJim SlaterAssists: Dustin Byfuglien · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–3
- P2 12:22BOSBlake WheelerAssists: Michael Ryder, Milan Lucic · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–3
- P2 19:47ATLNiclas BergforsPPAssists: Dustin Byfuglien, Toby Enstrom · Tip-in, 0.14 xG1–4
Penalties (15)
- P1 0:34BOSZdeno Chara: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 4:32ATLAnthony Stewart: Holding2 min
- P1 15:57BOSBlake Wheeler: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:01BOSMatt Hunwick: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:01ATLEvander Kane: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:31BOSShawn Thornton: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:31ATLEric Boulton: Fighting5 min
- P2 18:06BOSDaniel Paille: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P2 18:06ATLBen Eager: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:06BOSShawn Thornton: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:51ATLRich Peverley: Slashing2 min
- P3 11:59ATLAndrew Ladd: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:08BOSDennis Seidenberg: Interference2 min
- P3 15:08ATLBen Eager: High sticking2 min
- P3 16:43ATLBryan Little: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Peverley
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestHorton – Bergeron – Lucic11:19
xG 0.35–0.12 (74%)attempts 13–5goals 0–1
- Thornton – Paille – Seguin6:27
xG 0.10–0.02 (84%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Recchi – Ryder – Wheeler8:45
xG 0.23–0.18 (57%)attempts 6–7goals 1–1
- Campbell – Marchand – Arniel9:31
xG 0.52–0.54 (49%)attempts 11–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Boychuk11:36
xG 0.87–0.21 (80%)attempts 23–5goals 1–0
- Ference – Seidenberg2:54
xG 0.25–0.04 (85%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Chara – Ference8:11
xG 0.23–0.08 (74%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
Atlanta Thrashers
Forward lines
- bestStewart – Little – Kane8:55
xG 0.23–0.11 (68%)attempts 7–3goals 1–0
- Antropov – Eager – Burmistrov7:43
xG 0.21–0.30 (41%)attempts 5–12goals 1–0
- Boulton – Thorburn – Slater6:31
xG 0.14–0.34 (29%)attempts 6–11goals 1–0
- Ladd – Peverley – Bergfors11:07
xG 0.16–0.43 (27%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSopel – Hainsey10:49
xG 0.41–0.16 (72%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Sopel – Oduya2:18
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Oduya – Bogosian13:09
xG 0.23–0.69 (25%)attempts 9–20goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ATL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ATL is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ATL − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).