Tue, Nov 30, 2010·United Center, Chicago
St. Louis Blues 5, Chicago Blackhawks 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 17 | 17 | 312 | 526 |
| CHI | 26 | 39 | 29 | 724 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:38CHITomas KopeckyAssists: Patrick Sharp · Wrap-around, 0.01 xG0–1
- P1 16:59STLPatrik BerglundAssists: Vladimir Sobotka, David Backes · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–1
- P1 19:03CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Tomas Kopecky, Brian Campbell · Backhand, 0.14 xG1–2
- P2 2:46CHITroy BrouwerPPAssists: Jeremy Morin, Brian Campbell · Snap, 0.24 xG1–3
- P2 9:16CHIJonathan ToewsPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–4
- P2 11:07CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Viktor Stalberg, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–5
- P2 17:30STLEric BrewerAssists: David Backes, Vladimir Sobotka · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–5
- P3 3:17STLAlex PietrangeloAssists: Vladimir Sobotka, David Backes · Slap, 0.02 xG3–5
- P3 6:02STLBrad BoyesAssists: Alexander Steen, Erik Johnson · Wrist, 0.37 xG4–5
- P3 13:42CHIPatrick KaneGWGAssists: Viktor Stalberg, Tomas Kopecky · Backhand, 0.23 xG4–6
- P3 15:33CHIJonathan ToewsPPAssists: Tomas Kopecky, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.27 xG4–7
- P3 17:21STLDavid BackesAssists: Alex Pietrangelo · Tip-in, 0.09 xG5–7
Penalties (19)
- P1 5:24CHIJohn Scott: Fighting5 min
- P1 5:24STLCam Janssen: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:09CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min
- P2 1:08STLErik Johnson: Elbowing2 min · PPG
- P2 3:14STLCarlo Colaiacovo: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:31STLMatt D'Agostini: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 11:14CHINick Boynton: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:14STLB.J. Crombeen: Fighting5 min
- P3 7:08STLNikita Nikitin: Holding2 min
- P3 11:02CHIDave Bolland: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 14:50CHIPatrick Kane: Roughing2 min
- P3 14:50STLAndy McDonald: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P3 14:50STLAndy McDonald: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:09CHIJeremy Morin: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:09STLChris Porter: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:09CHIJohn Scott: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 17:09STLCam Janssen: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 19:26CHIDuncan Keith: Interference2 min
- P3 0:00CHINick Boynton: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Berglund
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestBackes – Sobotka – Berglund9:55
xG 0.68–0.45 (60%)attempts 15–8goals 2–1
- Winchester – McClement – D'Agostini3:10
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- McDonald – Boyes – Steen13:11
xG 0.54–0.44 (55%)attempts 7–11goals 1–0
- Winchester – McClement – Crombeen3:18
xG 0.02–0.15 (14%)attempts 1–2goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestBrewer – Johnson12:46
xG 0.65–0.29 (69%)attempts 9–7goals 1–1
- Jackman – Pietrangelo13:55
xG 0.71–0.55 (56%)attempts 13–8goals 2–1
- Colaiacovo – Nikitin13:01
xG 0.13–0.23 (36%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Stalberg – Toews – Kane10:01
xG 0.49–0.50 (50%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Kopecky – Sharp – Morin7:59
xG 0.17–0.18 (48%)attempts 3–3goals 2–0
- Bolland – Bickell – Brouwer12:08
xG 0.41–0.59 (41%)attempts 6–11goals 0–1
- Dowell – Skille – Scott3:39
xG 0.01–0.26 (5%)attempts 1–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook16:46
xG 0.75–0.47 (62%)attempts 12–9goals 1–0
- Campbell – Hjalmarsson17:30
xG 0.66–0.59 (53%)attempts 10–16goals 2–1
- Campbell – Keith2:06
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).