Thu, Dec 2, 2010·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale
New York Rangers 6, New York Islanders 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 29 | 212 | 25 | 626 |
| NYI | 110 | 212 | 210 | 532 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:11NYRErik ChristensenAssists: Sean Avery, Marian Gaborik · Snap, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 17:07NYRRyan CallahanAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Derek Stepan · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–0
- P1 19:11NYIZenon KonopkaAssists: James Wisniewski, John Tavares · Tip-in, 0.38 xG2–1
- P2 9:18NYIMatt MoulsonAssists: John Tavares, PA Parenteau · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–2
- P2 12:30NYIRob SchrempAssists: Radek Martinek, Blake Comeau · Slap, 0.04 xG2–3
- P2 13:21NYRBrandon PrustAssists: Marc Staal · Wrist, 0.17 xG3–3
- P2 16:24NYRMarian GaborikPPUnassisted · Wrist, 0.25 xG4–3
- P3 3:31NYRMarian GaborikAssists: Sean Avery · Wrist, 0.21 xG5–3
- P3 12:29NYIMichael GrabnerAssists: Radek Martinek, Frans Nielsen · Tip-in, 0.09 xG5–4
- P3 14:10NYIBlake ComeauAssists: PA Parenteau, Travis Hamonic · Wrist, 0.20 xG5–5
- P3 14:35NYRMarian GaborikGWGAssists: Erik Christensen, Sean Avery · Snap, 0.14 xG6–5
Penalties (7)
- P1 3:24NYITrevor Gillies: Fighting5 min
- P1 3:24NYRDerek Boogaard: Fighting5 min
- P2 0:17NYITravis Hamonic: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:12NYIMatt Martin: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:12NYRMichael Sauer: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:21NYIPA Parenteau: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 6:09NYRDerek Boogaard: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Konopka won the faceoff against Boyle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestAvery – Gaborik – Christensen12:48
xG 1.17–0.14 (89%)attempts 16–8goals 2–0
- Gaborik – Frolov – Anisimov3:34
xG 0.32–0.07 (82%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Fedotenko – Boyle – Prust11:26
xG 0.29–0.11 (72%)attempts 6–8goals 1–0
- Dubinsky – Callahan – Stepan13:51
xG 0.93–1.10 (46%)attempts 17–15goals 1–4
Defence pairs
- bestRozsival – Del Zotto13:58
xG 1.19–0.39 (75%)attempts 16–8goals 1–0
- Eminger – Sauer11:01
xG 0.72–0.43 (63%)attempts 9–11goals 2–1
- Staal – Girardi18:17
xG 1.09–0.82 (57%)attempts 19–18goals 1–2
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestNielsen – Joensuu – Grabner9:12
xG 0.46–0.18 (72%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Konopka – Comeau – Martin3:18
xG 0.05–0.09 (36%)attempts 4–1goals 0–1
- Schremp – Comeau – Joensuu4:30
xG 0.05–0.32 (12%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Sim – Nielsen – Grabner4:17
xG 0.02–0.38 (6%)attempts 1–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMartinek – Reese7:07
xG 0.34–0.21 (62%)attempts 11–3goals 2–0
- Reese – Hamonic5:49
xG 0.02–0.05 (33%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Eaton – Hamonic10:27
xG 0.35–0.71 (33%)attempts 8–13goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).