Fri, Dec 3, 2010·Madison Square Garden, New York
New York Islanders 0, New York Rangers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 03 | 07 | 07 | 017 |
| NYR | 06 | 18 | 17 | 221 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:33NYRMarc StaalPPGWGAssists: Derek Stepan, Brandon Dubinsky · Slap, 0.04 xG0–1
- P3 19:57NYRBrian BoyleENAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Ryan Callahan · Backhand, 0.68 xG0–2
Penalties (15)
- P1 12:42NYRRyan Callahan: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:42NYRRyan Callahan: Elbowing2 min
- P1 12:42NYIJesse Joensuu: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:42NYIJesse Joensuu: Instigator2 min
- P1 12:42NYIJesse Joensuu: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 12:42NYIJesse Joensuu: Misconduct10 min
- P1 15:18NYRSean Avery: Roughing2 min
- P1 15:18NYRSean Avery: Misconduct10 min
- P1 17:09NYIJon Sim: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 2:42NYIJon Sim: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P2 7:00NYRBrandon Dubinsky: Cross checking2 min
- P2 7:00NYIJon Sim: Diving2 min
- P2 7:42NYIAndrew MacDonald: Interference2 min
- P2 15:22NYRSean Avery: Boarding2 min
- P3 16:03NYIDwayne Roloson: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Christensen won the faceoff against Tavares
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestSim – Schremp – Comeau6:12
xG 0.21–0.07 (76%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Gillies – Konopka – Martin3:12
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Nielsen – Joensuu – Grabner6:40
xG 0.14–0.25 (36%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Parenteau – Moulson – Tavares16:18
xG 0.72–0.88 (45%)attempts 16–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEaton – Martinek10:53
xG 0.39–0.14 (73%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Wisniewski – MacDonald2:21
xG 0.04–0.11 (24%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Wisniewski – Hillen10:42
xG 0.23–0.35 (39%)attempts 5–14goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestFedotenko – Boyle – Prust11:02
xG 0.43–0.17 (71%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Avery – Gaborik – Christensen6:50
xG 0.37–0.12 (76%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Callahan – Stepan7:28
xG 0.14–0.15 (49%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Frolov – Boogaard – Anisimov2:16
xG 0.03–0.09 (26%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEminger – Sauer9:30
xG 0.28–0.03 (90%)attempts 10–2goals 0–0
- Staal – Girardi16:13
xG 0.96–0.72 (57%)attempts 15–17goals 0–0
- Rozsival – Del Zotto11:27
xG 0.29–0.25 (54%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it NYI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − NYI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).