Fri, Dec 3, 2010·United Center, Chicago
Vancouver Canucks 3, Chicago Blackhawks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 08 | 15 | 25 | 318 |
| CHI | 014 | 08 | 010 | 032 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 11:18VANTanner GlassGWGAssists: Jannik Hansen, Dan Hamhuis · Backhand, 0.31 xG1–0
- P3 5:06VANChristian EhrhoffPPAssists: Alexander Edler, Daniel Sedin · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–0
- P3 15:35VANHenrik SedinAssists: Daniel Sedin, Alexandre Burrows · Wrist, 0.49 xG3–0
Penalties (9)
- P1 8:35VANDaniel Sedin: Tripping2 min
- P1 12:29VANRyan Kesler: Cross checking2 min
- P1 13:02CHIJonathan Toews: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 5:29CHIJack Skille: Slashing2 min
- P2 15:34CHIViktor Stalberg: Tripping2 min
- P3 0:05VANRaffi Torres: High sticking2 min
- P3 1:50VANChristian Ehrhoff: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:58CHITomas Kopecky: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P3 16:44CHIJack Skille: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Malhotra won the faceoff against Sharp
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Burrows9:17
xG 0.74–0.05 (93%)attempts 7–3goals 1–0
- Perrault – Glass – Hansen4:55
xG 0.48–0.07 (88%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0
- Kesler – Tambellini – Raymond10:56
xG 0.43–0.24 (65%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Malhotra – Samuelsson – Torres8:33
xG 0.10–0.34 (23%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEhrhoff – Edler15:42
xG 1.02–0.61 (63%)attempts 13–18goals 1–0
- Hamhuis – Bieksa16:15
xG 0.17–0.42 (28%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
- Alberts – Ballard10:31
xG 0.09–0.48 (15%)attempts 3–11goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKopecky – Sharp – Morin6:06
xG 0.25–0.12 (68%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Sharp – Stalberg – Morin2:07
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Bolland – Bickell – Brouwer7:04
xG 0.06–0.01 (86%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Stalberg – Toews – Kane6:54
xG 0.18–0.16 (54%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCullimore – Boynton11:00
xG 0.34–0.03 (93%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Campbell – Hjalmarsson16:02
xG 0.51–0.26 (66%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Keith – Seabrook14:42
xG 0.14–1.44 (9%)attempts 8–15goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).