Sat, Dec 4, 2010·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Florida Panthers 2, Phoenix Coyotes 1 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 08 | 116 | 07 | 06 | 3 | 237 |
| PHX | 011 | 112 | 013 | 05 | 2 | 141 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 10:21FLAMichael FrolikAssists: David Booth · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P2 16:04PHXMartin HanzalPPAssists: Ray Whitney, Keith Yandle · Wrist, 0.23 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. PHX Lee Stempniak stopped
- 2. FLA Mike Santorelli scored
- 3. PHX Radim Vrbata scored
- 4. FLA Steve Reinprecht stopped
- 5. PHX Scottie Upshall scored
- 6. FLA Stephen Weiss scored
- 7. PHX Ray Whitney stopped
- 8. FLA David Booth stopped
- 9. PHX Lauri Korpikoski stopped
- 10. FLA Michael Frolik scored
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:33PHXRay Whitney: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:12FLAKeaton Ellerby: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:06FLADennis Wideman: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
- P3 1:13PHXMartin Hanzal: Tripping2 min
- P3 5:43FLAMarty Reasoner: Tripping2 min
- OT 1:35PHXRay Whitney: Hooking2 min
- OT 2:59PHXTaylor Pyatt: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Fiddler won the faceoff against Reasoner
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestDvorak – Weiss – Booth5:54
xG 0.55–0.06 (91%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Reasoner – Reinprecht – Thomas4:20
xG 0.33–0.19 (64%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Bernier – Santorelli – Matthias11:19
xG 0.48–0.59 (45%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Reasoner – McArdle – Thomas2:39
xG 0.02–0.19 (8%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWideman – Ellerby14:38
xG 0.65–0.47 (58%)attempts 18–7goals 0–0
- McCabe – Kulikov12:33
xG 0.54–0.49 (52%)attempts 11–16goals 0–0
- McCabe – Wideman3:13
xG 0.03–0.06 (32%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestPyatt – Fiddler – Stempniak11:57
xG 0.70–0.37 (66%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Whitney – Vrbata – Hanzal11:55
xG 0.69–0.36 (66%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
- Doan – Upshall – Turris11:30
xG 0.58–0.41 (58%)attempts 15–10goals 0–1
- Belanger – Korpikoski – Wolski7:37
xG 0.35–0.24 (60%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMorris – Yandle23:01
xG 1.23–0.84 (59%)attempts 32–18goals 0–0
- Yonkman – Schlemko7:12
xG 0.60–0.31 (66%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
- Aucoin – Jovanovski16:38
xG 0.71–0.60 (54%)attempts 17–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).