Sun, Dec 5, 2010·Honda Center, Anaheim
Phoenix Coyotes 3, Anaheim Ducks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 116 | 116 | 17 | 339 |
| ANA | 010 | 011 | 05 | 026 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:59PHXTaylor PyattGWGAssists: Sami Lepisto, David Schlemko · Deflected, 0.06 xG1–0
- P2 17:23PHXShane DoanPPAssists: Keith Yandle, Ray Whitney · Wrist, 0.28 xG2–0
- P3 17:04PHXLee StempniakENAssists: Vernon Fiddler · Wrist, 0.57 xG3–0
Penalties (15)
- P1 1:31PHXDerek Morris: Tripping2 min
- P1 4:39PHXPaul Bissonnette: Fighting5 min
- P1 4:39ANAGeorge Parros: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:05ANAKyle Chipchura: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:18ANAAndy Sutton: Slashing2 min
- P2 7:32PHXDerek Morris: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:54ANAPaul Mara: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:42ANAAndy Sutton: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 17:50ANAMatt Beleskey: Interference2 min
- P2 19:18ANACorey Perry: Slashing2 min
- P2 0:00PHXEric Belanger: Hooking2 min
- P3 18:21PHXWojtek Wolski: Slashing2 min
- P3 18:21ANAPaul Mara: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:21PHXWojtek Wolski: Cross checking2 min
- P3 18:21ANAPaul Mara: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hanzal won the faceoff against Koivu
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestDoan – Belanger – Upshall10:56
xG 0.92–0.47 (66%)attempts 17–7goals 0–0
- Whitney – Vrbata – Hanzal11:44
xG 0.47–0.20 (70%)attempts 16–7goals 0–0
- Stempniak – Korpikoski – Wolski8:15
xG 0.64–0.43 (60%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Pyatt – Fiddler – Stempniak3:52
xG 0.21–0.09 (71%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAucoin – Jovanovski14:56
xG 1.28–0.88 (59%)attempts 26–12goals 0–0
- Lepisto – Schlemko6:37
xG 0.47–0.35 (57%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Morris – Yandle19:27
xG 0.42–0.59 (42%)attempts 17–12goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Perry – Ryan14:02
xG 1.13–0.38 (75%)attempts 10–15goals 0–0
- Marchant – Parros – Chipchura5:43
xG 0.23–0.18 (55%)attempts 3–5goals 0–1
- Lupul – Beleskey – Bonino4:03
xG 0.28–0.34 (45%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Koivu – Blake – Lupul4:59
xG 0.27–0.45 (38%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLydman – Visnovsky14:06
xG 0.70–0.44 (61%)attempts 10–18goals 0–0
- Mara – Fowler12:35
xG 0.80–0.95 (46%)attempts 14–19goals 0–0
- Sutton – Sbisa13:20
xG 0.69–0.93 (43%)attempts 9–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).