Wed, Dec 8, 2010·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Anaheim Ducks 4, Vancouver Canucks 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 94% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 17 | 28 | 12 | 03 | 0 | 420 |
| VAN | 212 | 07 | 215 | 06 | 1 | 540 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:37ANACorey PerryPPAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Teemu Selanne · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–0
- P1 6:20VANRyan KeslerPPAssists: Alexander Edler, Christian Ehrhoff · Deflected, 0.14 xG1–1
- P1 6:31VANJeff TambelliniAssists: Mason Raymond, Dan Hamhuis · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–2
- P2 9:35ANAJoffrey LupulAssists: Todd Marchant, Lubomir Visnovsky · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–2
- P2 19:43ANATeemu SelannePPAssists: Corey Perry · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–2
- P3 11:36ANACam FowlerAssists: Todd Marchant, Paul Mara · Wrist, 0.09 xG4–2
- P3 12:42VANDaniel SedinPPAssists: Christian Ehrhoff, Ryan Kesler · Wrist, 0.37 xG4–3
- P3 19:38VANRyan KeslerAssists: Manny Malhotra, Henrik Sedin · Backhand, 0.23 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. VAN Jeff Tambellini scored
- 2. ANA Joffrey Lupul stopped
- 3. VAN Ryan Kesler stopped
- 4. ANA Teemu Selanne stopped
- 5. VAN Daniel Sedin stopped
- 6. ANA Corey Perry stopped
Penalties (16)
- P1 2:49ANALuca Sbisa: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 2:49VANAlexandre Bolduc: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 2:49VANTanner Glass: Roughing2 min
- P1 4:45ANABobby Ryan: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:06VANChristian Ehrhoff: Holding2 min
- P1 12:24ANAJoffrey Lupul: Holding2 min
- P1 17:08ANASaku Koivu: Elbowing2 min
- P2 0:16ANAAaron Voros: Fighting5 min
- P2 0:16VANKevin Bieksa: Fighting5 min
- P2 0:16ANAAaron Voros: Game misconduct10 min
- P2 17:35ANACorey Perry: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 18:24VANAlexander Edler: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 2:54ANAAndy Sutton: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:12VANJeff Tambellini: Charging2 min
- P3 11:06ANACorey Perry: Holding2 min · PPG
- OT 4:41ANACorey Perry: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Malhotra won the faceoff against Getzlaf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- Lupul – Bonino – McMillan4:40
xG 0.00–0.14 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Selanne – Koivu – Blake9:13
xG 0.18–0.44 (29%)attempts 6–11goals 0–1
- Getzlaf – Perry – Ryan14:05
xG 0.22–0.61 (26%)attempts 3–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Visnovsky – Sbisa4:22
xG 0.11–0.07 (61%)attempts 3–3goals 1–0
- Mara – Fowler12:52
xG 0.26–0.43 (38%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Sutton – Sbisa4:21
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Burrows13:24
xG 0.60–0.28 (69%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Kesler – Tambellini – Raymond9:28
xG 0.49–0.21 (70%)attempts 11–5goals 0–1
- Malhotra – Torres – Hansen9:34
xG 0.19–0.02 (89%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Andersson – Bolduc – Glass2:09
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Bieksa13:40
xG 0.71–0.21 (77%)attempts 15–5goals 1–1
- Ballard – Rome7:52
xG 0.31–0.05 (87%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Ehrhoff – Edler11:05
xG 0.48–0.23 (67%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 94% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).