Thu, Dec 9, 2010·TD Garden, Boston
New York Islanders 2, Boston Bruins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 07 | 117 | 111 | 235 |
| BOS | 116 | 19 | 312 | 537 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:00BOSMilan LucicPPAssists: Marc Savard · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P2 3:41NYIFrans NielsenUnassisted · Backhand, 0.36 xG1–1
- P2 14:40BOSBrad MarchandSHUnassisted · Backhand, 0.12 xG1–2
- P3 14:16BOSMichael RyderPPGWGAssists: Andrew Ference, Zdeno Chara · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–3
- P3 16:27NYIRob SchrempAssists: Travis Hamonic, Zenon Konopka · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–3
- P3 18:57BOSMilan LucicENAssists: Johnny Boychuk · Snap, 0.48 xG2–4
- P3 19:55BOSPatrice BergeronENAssists: David Krejci, Zdeno Chara · Wrist, 0.65 xG2–5
Penalties (13)
- P1 8:22BOSAdam McQuaid: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:22NYIZenon Konopka: Fighting5 min
- P1 10:16BOSNathan Horton: Tripping2 min
- P1 11:53NYIMark Eaton: Holding2 min
- P1 13:20NYIRick DiPietro: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P1 19:49NYIPA Parenteau: Boarding2 min
- P2 2:30NYIJack Hillen: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:41BOSPatrice Bergeron: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway0 min
- P2 7:51NYITrevor Gillies: Fighting5 min
- P2 7:51BOSShawn Thornton: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:27BOSDavid Krejci: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:28BOSShawn Thornton: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:17NYIFrans Nielsen: Cross checking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Konopka won the faceoff against Campbell
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestMoulson – Joensuu – Tavares10:25
xG 0.78–0.13 (86%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Sim – Schremp – Comeau7:52
xG 0.19–0.16 (54%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Parenteau – Nielsen – Grabner7:37
xG 0.12–0.26 (30%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWisniewski – Hillen11:41
xG 0.62–0.13 (82%)attempts 16–7goals 0–0
- MacDonald – Hamonic12:21
xG 0.70–0.32 (69%)attempts 9–14goals 0–0
- Eaton – Martinek11:34
xG 0.40–0.40 (50%)attempts 9–15goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestHorton – Krejci – Lucic11:32
xG 0.50–0.20 (72%)attempts 23–10goals 0–0
- Savard – Ryder – Seguin7:54
xG 0.13–0.08 (61%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Marchand10:35
xG 0.43–0.42 (50%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Recchi – Bergeron – Wheeler8:39
xG 0.06–0.21 (22%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Boychuk14:49
xG 0.44–0.35 (56%)attempts 17–15goals 0–0
- Ference – McQuaid9:14
xG 0.25–0.17 (60%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Seidenberg – Kampfer9:26
xG 0.36–0.36 (50%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NYI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NYI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).