Sun, Dec 12, 2010·Madison Square Garden, New York
Washington Capitals 0, New York Rangers 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 010 | 09 | 012 | 031 |
| NYR | 18 | 410 | 22 | 720 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:57NYRBrandon PrustGWGAssists: Alex Frolov, Brian Boyle · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 0:59NYRArtem AnisimovUnassisted · Snap, 0.11 xG0–2
- P2 3:07NYRMarian GaborikPPAssists: Marc Staal, Michal Rozsival · Tip-in, 0.18 xG0–3
- P2 4:30NYRBrandon DubinskyAssists: Dan Girardi, Artem Anisimov · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–4
- P2 10:42NYRMarc StaalSHAssists: Brian Boyle, Brandon Prust · Backhand, 0.17 xG0–5
- P3 4:11NYRRyan CallahanAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Dan Girardi · Snap, 0.22 xG0–6
- P3 13:31NYRRyan CallahanUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–7
Penalties (19)
- P1 10:03NYRArtem Anisimov: Holding2 min
- P1 12:49WSHJohn Erskine: Hooking2 min
- P2 1:13WSHScott Hannan: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 5:16WSHMatt Hendricks: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:16NYRMichael Sauer: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:33NYRBrandon Dubinsky: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:33WSHAlex Ovechkin: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:07NYRDan Girardi: Slashing2 min
- P2 17:00NYRMichal Rozsival: High sticking2 min
- P3 7:06WSHJohn Erskine: Interference2 min
- P3 12:29NYRSean Avery: Cross checking2 min
- P3 12:29WSHMatt Hendricks: Slashing2 min
- P3 14:34NYRSean Avery: Fighting5 min
- P3 14:34WSHMatt Hendricks: Fighting5 min
- P3 14:34WSHMatt Hendricks: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 14:34NYRSean Avery: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 15:02WSHJason Chimera: Misconduct10 min
- P3 15:02NYRBrandon Prust: Misconduct10 min
- P3 19:25NYRErik Christensen: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gordon won the faceoff against Boyle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Washington Capitals
Forward lines
- bestKnuble – Laich – Perreault2:51
xG 0.38–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Gordon – Gordon – Johansson2:17
xG 0.30–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Semin – Ovechkin – Backstrom4:35
xG 0.50–0.31 (62%)attempts 9–4goals 0–1
- Chimera – Gordon – Gordon6:09
xG 0.34–0.26 (57%)attempts 3–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestPoti – Carlson11:16
xG 0.66–0.16 (80%)attempts 12–4goals 0–1
- Poti – Hannan2:41
xG 0.42–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Alzner – Carlson2:13
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestDubinsky – Callahan – Anisimov9:02
xG 1.01–0.50 (67%)attempts 13–10goals 3–0
- Frolov – Boyle – Prust7:44
xG 0.66–0.24 (74%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
- Fedotenko – Gaborik – Stepan9:52
xG 0.14–0.41 (26%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- White – Avery – Christensen3:32
xG 0.07–0.38 (16%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStaal – Girardi16:18
xG 1.06–0.70 (60%)attempts 12–13goals 2–0
- Rozsival – Del Zotto11:36
xG 0.66–0.61 (52%)attempts 9–11goals 2–0
- Rozsival – Eminger2:03
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it WSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − WSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).