Mon, Dec 13, 2010·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Los Angeles Kings 5, Detroit Red Wings 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 16 | 111 | 39 | 526 |
| DET | 012 | 026 | 013 | 051 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:27LAKWayne SimmondsGWGAssists: Matt Greene, Alexei Ponikarovsky · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–0
- P2 13:39LAKOscar MollerAssists: Kyle Clifford, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.33 xG2–0
- P3 0:23LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Dustin Brown, Justin Williams · Wrist, 0.28 xG3–0
- P3 2:59LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Drew Doughty · Slap, 0.04 xG4–0
- P3 6:03LAKJack JohnsonPPAssists: Drew Doughty, Dustin Brown · Slap, 0.03 xG5–0
Penalties (4)
- P2 7:30LAKAlec Martinez: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:41LAKAlec Martinez: Holding2 min
- P3 3:11DETJustin Abdelkader: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P3 10:36LAKAlexei Ponikarovsky: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Datsyuk won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestWilliams – Brown – Kopitar10:46
xG 0.81–0.33 (71%)attempts 13–10goals 1–0
- Zeiler – Lewis – Clifford4:35
xG 0.13–0.11 (53%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Zeiler – Moller – Clifford2:10
xG 0.08–0.19 (30%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Smyth – Stoll – Lewis3:43
xG 0.00–0.23 (0%)attempts 0–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMartinez – Doughty4:59
xG 0.51–0.25 (67%)attempts 4–11goals 1–0
- Scuderi – Doughty12:47
xG 1.14–0.97 (54%)attempts 15–12goals 2–0
- Mitchell – Martinez2:55
xG 0.14–0.02 (90%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestBertuzzi – Filppula – Franzen11:37
xG 1.14–0.52 (69%)attempts 19–8goals 0–1
- Cleary – Hudler – Helm10:03
xG 0.59–0.36 (62%)attempts 16–8goals 0–0
- Eaves – Miller – Abdelkader6:57
xG 0.14–0.10 (60%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Holmstrom – Datsyuk – Zetterberg10:44
xG 0.27–0.74 (27%)attempts 7–9goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestLidstrom – Stuart13:55
xG 1.07–0.82 (57%)attempts 13–10goals 0–2
- Salei – Kronwall13:49
xG 0.52–0.42 (55%)attempts 24–12goals 0–0
- Rafalski – Ericsson14:09
xG 0.60–0.55 (52%)attempts 12–13goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DET's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DET is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DET − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).