Wed, Dec 15, 2010·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Vancouver Canucks 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 06 | 114 | 18 | 02 | 230 |
| VAN | 112 | 19 | 07 | 12 | 330 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:37VANRyan KeslerAssists: Alexander Edler · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
- P2 9:02CBJDerick BrassardAssists: Jakub Voracek, Marc Methot · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 10:50VANRyan KeslerAssists: Mikael Samuelsson · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–2
- P3 7:34CBJTom SestitoPPAssists: Mike Commodore, Fedor Tyutin · Deflected, 0.22 xG2–2
- OT 3:30VANRyan KeslerPPGWGAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Snap, 0.29 xG2–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 0:59CBJRostislav Klesla: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 3:55CBJDerick Brassard: Holding2 min
- P1 8:48VANRaffi Torres: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:40VANAlexander Edler: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:26CBJRostislav Klesla: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:34CBJMike Commodore: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:24VANAndrew Alberts: Interference2 min · PPG
- OT 2:45CBJJan Hejda: Boarding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Vermette
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestNash – Brassard – Voracek11:29
xG 0.42–0.16 (73%)attempts 17–7goals 1–0
- Moreau – Pahlsson – Dorsett4:03
xG 0.13–0.01 (93%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Huselius – Vermette – Umberger11:46
xG 0.69–0.60 (53%)attempts 20–16goals 0–1
- Clark – Murray – Sestito3:14
xG 0.12–0.09 (57%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Hejda18:37
xG 0.97–0.39 (72%)attempts 20–14goals 0–0
- Commodore – Russell7:54
xG 0.35–0.25 (59%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Klesla – Methot12:23
xG 0.30–0.23 (56%)attempts 10–13goals 0–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMalhotra – Torres – Hansen9:38
xG 0.29–0.14 (67%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows11:55
xG 0.67–0.59 (53%)attempts 16–10goals 0–0
- Andersson – Bolduc – Glass3:30
xG 0.05–0.01 (78%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Samuelsson – Kesler – Glass2:21
xG 0.01–0.11 (12%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBallard – Edler15:54
xG 0.81–0.51 (61%)attempts 22–18goals 2–0
- Alberts – Rome10:03
xG 0.18–0.25 (42%)attempts 7–6goals 0–1
- Hamhuis – Bieksa15:03
xG 0.59–0.90 (40%)attempts 17–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).