Thu, Dec 16, 2010·Madison Square Garden, New York
Phoenix Coyotes 3, New York Rangers 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 210 | 110 | 013 | 00 | 0 | 333 |
| NYR | 110 | 110 | 111 | 05 | 1 | 436 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:27PHXTaylor PyattPPAssists: Kyle Turris, Keith Yandle · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–0
- P1 5:53PHXAdrian AucoinAssists: Vernon Fiddler, Lauri Korpikoski · Slap, 0.03 xG2–0
- P1 12:07NYRDan GirardiPPAssists: Ruslan Fedotenko, Marc Staal · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
- P2 9:43PHXMartin HanzalPPAssists: Shane Doan, Ray Whitney · Wrist, 0.22 xG3–1
- P2 19:54NYRBrandon PrustSHAssists: Dan Girardi · Wrist, 0.26 xG3–2
- P3 14:17NYRDerek StepanAssists: Chris Drury, Sean Avery · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. NYR Erik Christensen scored
- 2. PHX Lee Stempniak stopped
- 3. NYR Derek Stepan stopped
- 4. PHX Radim Vrbata stopped
- 5. NYR Artem Anisimov stopped
- 6. PHX Eric Belanger stopped
Penalties (9)
- P1 1:06NYRBrian Boyle: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 10:47PHXSami Lepisto: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 12:41PHXSami Lepisto: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 15:55PHXMartin Hanzal: Slashing2 min
- P2 6:18PHXSami Lepisto: Holding2 min
- P2 9:02NYRBrian Boyle: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 17:13PHXAdrian Aucoin: Boarding2 min
- P2 17:58NYRBrandon Dubinsky: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:14NYRMichal Rozsival: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hanzal won the faceoff against Anisimov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestWhitney – Vrbata – Hanzal11:52
xG 0.69–0.32 (68%)attempts 14–5goals 0–0
- Pyatt – Stempniak – Turris11:00
xG 0.48–0.20 (70%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Fiddler – Bissonnette – Korpikoski3:25
xG 0.18–0.08 (70%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
- Doan – Belanger – Upshall11:03
xG 0.22–0.26 (46%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMorris – Yandle20:07
xG 1.18–1.06 (53%)attempts 29–15goals 0–1
- Yonkman – Lepisto4:50
xG 0.15–0.06 (72%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Jovanovski – Yonkman2:15
xG 0.21–0.16 (57%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestGaborik – Dubinsky – Anisimov4:06
xG 0.27–0.06 (81%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Fedotenko – Gaborik – Stepan4:33
xG 0.04–0.10 (28%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Frolov – Boyle – Prust7:41
xG 0.33–0.40 (45%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Drury – Dubinsky – Anisimov5:38
xG 0.06–0.17 (25%)attempts 1–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRozsival – Del Zotto14:24
xG 1.13–0.65 (63%)attempts 12–10goals 1–0
- Eminger – Sauer9:41
xG 0.16–0.13 (55%)attempts 2–8goals 0–1
- Rozsival – Eminger2:00
xG 0.00–0.15 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).