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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 17, 2010·Pepsi Center, Denver

Ottawa Senators 5, Colorado Avalanche 6 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 63% of the time.

COL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:25Shot by Jones, saved by Elliott
  3. P1 2:14Goal by Karlsson (Kelly, Ruutu)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Koci, Dupuis, McLeod, Wilson, Shattenkirk · OTT Ruutu, Neil, Carkner, Kelly, Karlsson

  4. P1 3:48Shot by Galiardi, saved by Elliott
  5. P1 3:55Goal by Galiardi (Shattenkirk, Porter)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Mauldin, Porter, Wilson, Galiardi, Shattenkirk · OTT Gonchar, Carkner, Spezza, Michalek, Shannon

  6. P1 5:59Shot by Fisher, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 7:48Goal by Michalek (Shannon)+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Foote, Porter, Hunwick, Yip, Galiardi · OTT Gonchar, Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Shannon

  8. P1 11:54Shot by Michalek, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 11:56Shot by Michalek, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 12:12Shot by Michalek, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 12:20O'Byrne: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Liles, O'Byrne, Porter, Yip, Galiardi · OTT Kovalev, Carkner, Spezza, Campoli, Michalek

  12. P1 13:05Shot by Karlsson, saved by Anderson4v5
  13. P1 14:02Shot by Wilson, saved by Elliott4v5
  14. P1 16:59Alfredsson: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Mauldin, Hunwick, Winnik, Shattenkirk, O'Reilly · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Kuba, Fisher, Foligno

  15. P1 16:58Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Elliott
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:28Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Anderson
  19. P2 0:37Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Elliott
  20. P2 1:07Shot by Mauldin, saved by Elliott
  21. P2 2:55Shot by Fisher, saved by Anderson
  22. P2 3:34Shot by Mauldin, saved by Elliott
  23. P2 5:00Shot by Campoli, saved by Anderson
  24. P2 5:18Wilson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Porter, Yip, Wilson, Galiardi, Shattenkirk · OTT Carkner, Campoli, Regin, Shannon, Winchester

  25. P2 6:53Shot by Fisher, saved by Anderson4v5
  26. P2 7:23Shot by Kovalev, saved by Anderson
  27. P2 7:46Shot by Kelly, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 8:09Shot by Karlsson, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 8:35Shot by Regin, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 8:42Shot by Kuba, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 9:11Shot by Wilson, saved by Elliott
  32. P2 9:56Shot by Duchene, saved by Elliott
  33. P2 10:11Shot by Liles, saved by Elliott
  34. P2 10:14Goal by McLeod (Liles, Dupuis)+25 pts WP

    On ice: COL Liles, Dupuis, McLeod, Shattenkirk, Duchene · OTT Kovalev, Phillips, Michalek, Winchester, Karlsson

  35. P2 11:39Goal by Carkner (Neil, Kelly)+26 pts WP

    On ice: COL Porter, Yip, Wilson, Galiardi, Shattenkirk · OTT Ruutu, Neil, Carkner, Kelly, Campoli

  36. P2 12:52Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Elliott
  37. P2 13:01Shot by Spezza, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 13:31Shot by Michalek, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 13:41Shot by Hunwick, saved by Elliott
  40. P2 13:54Shot by Kelly, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 14:58Shot by Foote, saved by Elliott
  42. P2 15:59Kovalev: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Liles, Mauldin, O'Byrne, Dupuis, Winnik · OTT Kovalev, Phillips, Spezza, Regin, Karlsson

  43. P2 16:32Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Elliott5v4
  44. P2 16:32Alfredsson: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Liles, Fleischmann, Jones, Shattenkirk, Duchene · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Fisher, Campoli

  45. P2 16:55Goal by Duchene (Liles, Shattenkirk)5v3+27 pts WP

    On ice: COL Liles, Fleischmann, Jones, Shattenkirk, Duchene · OTT Phillips, Carkner, Kelly

  46. P2 17:35Shot by Galiardi, saved by Elliott5v4
  47. P2 18:56Shot by Fisher, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:34Shot by Mauldin, saved by Elliott
  51. P3 2:08Goal by Porter (Dupuis)+28 pts WP

    On ice: COL Liles, O'Byrne, Dupuis, Porter, Yip · OTT Gonchar, Kuba, Ruutu, Neil, Kelly

  52. P3 3:03Fleischmann: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Liles, Fleischmann, O'Byrne, Jones, Duchene · OTT Kovalev, Phillips, Regin, Winchester, Karlsson

  53. P3 3:42Jones: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Foote, Dupuis, Jones, Hunwick · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson

  54. P3 3:53Shot by Spezza, saved by Anderson3v5
  55. P3 3:57Shot by Gonchar, saved by Anderson3v5
  56. P3 4:26Shot by Gonchar, saved by Anderson3v5
  57. P3 4:29Goal by Spezza (Kovalev, Fisher)3v5+28 pts WP

    On ice: COL Foote, O'Byrne, O'Reilly · OTT Kovalev, Gonchar, Alfredsson, Fisher, Spezza

  58. P3 4:28Shot by Fisher, saved by Anderson3v5
  59. P3 7:40Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 8:40Shot by Phillips, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 10:36Shot by Winnik, saved by Elliott
  62. P3 11:15Goal by Alfredsson (Foligno)+35 pts WP

    On ice: COL Mauldin, Hunwick, Winnik, Galiardi, Shattenkirk · OTT Alfredsson, Fisher, Carkner, Campoli, Foligno

  63. P3 11:58Wilson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Liles, Jones, Porter, Wilson, Duchene · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Kelly, Michalek, Karlsson

  64. P3 14:07Shot by Hunwick, saved by Elliott
  65. P3 16:47Goal by O'Reilly (Winnik, O'Byrne)+40 pts WP

    On ice: COL Liles, Mauldin, O'Byrne, Winnik, O'Reilly · OTT Gonchar, Kuba, Ruutu, Neil, Kelly

  66. P3 19:08Shot by Galiardi, saved by Elliott
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. OT 0:00Period start
  69. OT 2:36Goal by Duchene (Fleischmann)4v4+53 pts WP

    On ice: COL Fleischmann, O'Byrne, Hunwick, Duchene · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Phillips, Fisher

  70. OT 2:36Period end
  71. OT 2:36Final