Mon, Dec 20, 2010·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh
Phoenix Coyotes 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 016 | 05 | 16 | 127 |
| PIT | 214 | 315 | 19 | 638 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:56PITKris LetangPPAssists: Tyler Kennedy, Evgeni Malkin · Slap, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 19:25PITEvgeni MalkinGWGAssists: Sidney Crosby · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–2
- P2 0:51PITEvgeni MalkinPPAssists: Sidney Crosby · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–3
- P2 2:50PITSidney CrosbyPPAssists: Evgeni Malkin, Kris Letang · Snap, 0.09 xG0–4
- P2 7:21PITMatt CookeAssists: Max Talbot, Evgeni Malkin · Snap, 0.09 xG0–5
- P3 8:07PHXWojtek WolskiAssists: Derek Morris, Eric Belanger · Tip-in, 0.14 xG1–5
- P3 18:21PITChris ConnerAssists: Mark Letestu · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–6
Penalties (22)
- P1 5:54PHXNolan Yonkman: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 7:45PITMarc-Andre Fleury: Delaying game2 min
- P1 10:15PITChris Kunitz: High sticking2 min
- P1 15:33PITKris Letang: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 18:40PITAlex Goligoski: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:23PHXShane Doan: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 1:54PHXWojtek Wolski: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 13:25PITMike Rupp: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:57PITMatt Cooke: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:38PITBrooks Orpik: Hooking2 min
- P3 1:39PITDeryk Engelland: Fighting5 min
- P3 1:39PHXVernon Fiddler: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:39PHXVernon Fiddler: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:39PHXTaylor Pyatt: Fighting5 min
- P3 1:39PITMatt Cooke: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:25PHXScottie Upshall: Misconduct10 min
- P3 5:25PHXScottie Upshall: Slashing2 min
- P3 19:35PITCraig Adams: Misconduct10 min
- P3 19:35PITCraig Adams: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 19:35PITCraig Adams: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:35PHXNolan Yonkman: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:35PHXNolan Yonkman: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Crosby won the faceoff against Hanzal
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestDoan – Belanger – Wolski9:22
xG 0.43–0.19 (70%)attempts 8–5goals 1–1
- Fiddler – Stempniak – Turris4:03
xG 0.12–0.03 (81%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Upshall – Stempniak – Turris4:39
xG 0.22–0.15 (60%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Pyatt – Fiddler – Korpikoski2:19
xG 0.07–0.04 (62%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAucoin – Ekman-Larsson7:40
xG 0.23–0.15 (61%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Yonkman – Ekman-Larsson4:21
xG 0.17–0.23 (43%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Aucoin – Jovanovski4:31
xG 0.04–0.12 (23%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestCooke – Talbot – Malkin3:56
xG 0.26–0.02 (93%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
- Kennedy – Conner – Letestu8:31
xG 0.36–0.15 (71%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
- Adams – Dupuis – Talbot2:02
xG 0.11–0.07 (62%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Asham – Adams – Rupp4:58
xG 0.07–0.08 (50%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEngelland – Goligoski12:08
xG 0.58–0.26 (69%)attempts 17–12goals 1–0
- Orpik – Letang11:51
xG 0.55–0.28 (66%)attempts 10–7goals 1–1
- Martin – Michalek9:50
xG 0.29–0.42 (41%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PIT's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PIT is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PIT − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).