Thu, Dec 23, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Edmonton Oilers 2, Los Angeles Kings 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 06 | 17 | 113 | 03 | 1 | 229 |
| LAK | 09 | 110 | 17 | 03 | 2 | 329 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:39EDMTaylor HallPPAssists: Sam Gagner, Ryan Whitney · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P2 8:31LAKJustin WilliamsPPAssists: Michal Handzus, Jack Johnson · Wrist, 0.21 xG1–1
- P3 4:25EDMJean-Francois JacquesAssists: Theo Peckham, Zack Stortini · Tip-in, 0.07 xG2–1
- P3 4:45LAKJack JohnsonAssists: Wayne Simmonds · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 2. EDM Jordan Eberle scored
- 3. LAK Jack Johnson stopped
- 4. EDM Taylor Hall stopped
- 5. LAK Dustin Brown scored
- 6. EDM Linus Omark stopped
- 7. LAK Michal Handzus stopped
- 8. EDM Sam Gagner stopped
- 9. LAK Justin Williams stopped
- 10. EDM Dustin Penner stopped
- 11. LAK Jarret Stoll scored
- 12. EDM Andrew Cogliano stopped
Penalties (9)
- P1 9:27EDMKurtis Foster: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:46LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:46EDMTheo Peckham: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:05LAKJustin Williams: Interference2 min
- P1 18:44EDMRyan Jones: Cross checking2 min
- P2 1:22LAKMichal Handzus: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 7:42EDMLinus Omark: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 0:59EDMTheo Peckham: Holding2 min
- OT 4:33LAKRyan Smyth: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Cogliano won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestJones – O'Marra – Omark8:35
xG 0.43–0.02 (95%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Gagner – Eberle – Hall15:57
xG 0.59–0.42 (58%)attempts 17–13goals 0–0
- Penner – Cogliano – Paajarvi11:44
xG 0.35–0.29 (55%)attempts 12–20goals 0–0
- Jacques – Fraser – Stortini7:52
xG 0.08–0.29 (23%)attempts 2–8goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestFoster – Smid13:03
xG 0.29–0.10 (75%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Strudwick – Whitney14:44
xG 0.45–0.30 (60%)attempts 14–15goals 0–0
- Whitney – Smid2:20
xG 0.20–0.08 (73%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Richardson – Kopitar8:05
xG 0.28–0.22 (56%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Smyth – Williams – Stoll13:01
xG 0.32–0.28 (54%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Handzus – Ponikarovsky – Lewis3:25
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Richardson – Simmonds – Clifford3:07
xG 0.14–0.17 (44%)attempts 3–4goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- Scuderi – Johnson2:26
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Martinez – Doughty2:00
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Harrold – Drewiske10:48
xG 0.17–0.23 (42%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it EDM. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − EDM), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).