Sun, Dec 26, 2010·United Center, Chicago
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Chicago Blackhawks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 014 | 07 | 16 | 127 |
| CHI | 18 | 09 | 38 | 425 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:00CHITomas KopeckyAssists: Marian Hossa, Jassen Cullimore · Wrist, 0.30 xG0–1
- P3 1:22CHIPatrick SharpPPGWGAssists: Brent Seabrook, Marian Hossa · Slap, 0.05 xG0–2
- P3 11:10CHIDave BollandPPAssists: Troy Brouwer, Bryan Bickell · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–3
- P3 11:47CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Troy Brouwer, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–4
- P3 17:34CBJDerick BrassardPPAssists: Tom Sestito, Fedor Tyutin · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–4
Penalties (12)
- P1 10:11CBJRostislav Klesla: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:04CHINick Boynton: Cross checking2 min
- P1 17:51CBJEthan Moreau: Interference2 min
- P2 0:19CHIBrent Seabrook: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:48CBJMarc Methot: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:44CBJRostislav Klesla: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway0 min
- P3 1:16CBJMarc Methot: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 3:19CHIBrent Seabrook: Boarding2 min
- P3 9:12CBJAntoine Vermette: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 14:31CBJDerek Dorsett: Fighting5 min
- P3 14:31CHIJake Dowell: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P3 15:56CHIDave Bolland: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Vermette won the faceoff against Bolland
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestVermette – Nash – Voracek12:36
xG 0.88–0.14 (86%)attempts 17–8goals 0–0
- Huselius – Umberger – Wilson8:38
xG 0.38–0.29 (56%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Moreau – Pahlsson – Boll7:54
xG 0.22–0.14 (61%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Dorsett – Sestito – Brassard4:10
xG 0.06–0.36 (15%)attempts 5–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Methot12:28
xG 0.87–0.58 (60%)attempts 12–8goals 0–1
- Hejda – Russell14:55
xG 0.46–0.21 (69%)attempts 14–5goals 0–1
- Klesla – Stralman11:43
xG 0.23–0.86 (21%)attempts 9–13goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Kopecky – Stalberg9:26
xG 0.63–0.27 (70%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
- Dowell – Skille – Scott4:30
xG 0.15–0.08 (65%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Sharp – Brouwer – Toews10:06
xG 0.29–0.41 (41%)attempts 9–10goals 1–0
- Pisani – Bolland – Bickell12:06
xG 0.20–0.62 (25%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook13:53
xG 0.80–0.34 (70%)attempts 13–15goals 0–0
- Cullimore – Boynton12:11
xG 0.53–0.23 (70%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
- Campbell – Keith2:19
xG 0.19–0.03 (86%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).