Sun, Dec 26, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Anaheim Ducks 1, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 08 | 18 | 03 | 119 |
| LAK | 09 | 415 | 06 | 430 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:15LAKWayne SimmondsAssists: Michal Handzus, Kyle Clifford · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–1
- P2 0:47ANAMatt BeleskeyAssists: Toni Lydman, Ryan Getzlaf · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 9:10LAKAnze KopitarGWGAssists: Marco Sturm, Dustin Brown · Wrist, 0.38 xG1–2
- P2 12:55LAKJustin WilliamsUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–3
- P2 17:57LAKDustin BrownPPAssists: Drew Doughty, Jack Johnson · Wrist, 0.31 xG1–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 0:43LAKWayne Simmonds: Kneeing2 min
- P1 12:06ANAMatt Beleskey: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:32LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P2 14:32ANAGeorge Parros: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 16:53ANAMatt Beleskey: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 2:29ANAMatt Beleskey: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:44LAKWayne Simmonds: Fighting5 min
- P3 8:44ANACorey Perry: Fighting5 min
- P3 8:44ANACorey Perry: Slashing2 min
- P3 15:10LAKRyan Smyth: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Handzus
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Perry – Beleskey11:47
xG 0.85–0.41 (67%)attempts 12–15goals 1–0
- Marchant – Parros – Chipchura7:54
xG 0.45–0.08 (85%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Selanne – Koivu – Blake10:19
xG 0.46–0.38 (55%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Lupul – Ryan – McMillan7:21
xG 0.03–0.67 (5%)attempts 1–14goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestSutton – Sbisa9:31
xG 0.35–0.26 (57%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
- Lydman – Visnovsky15:06
xG 0.51–0.45 (53%)attempts 10–18goals 1–0
- Visnovsky – Fowler3:46
xG 0.05–0.05 (48%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestSmyth – Williams – Stoll10:31
xG 0.54–0.27 (67%)attempts 14–6goals 1–0
- Ponikarovsky – Richardson – Lewis9:08
xG 0.29–0.03 (90%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Handzus – Simmonds – Clifford7:51
xG 0.28–0.10 (75%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
- Sturm – Brown – Kopitar7:26
xG 0.79–1.12 (42%)attempts 8–12goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Doughty16:59
xG 1.50–1.04 (59%)attempts 25–15goals 2–0
- Scuderi – Greene16:03
xG 0.61–0.33 (65%)attempts 18–10goals 1–1
- Martinez – Drewiske11:49
xG 0.15–0.36 (29%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).