Mon, Dec 27, 2010·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise
Boston Bruins 3, Florida Panthers 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 012 | 114 | 112 | 04 | 1 | 342 |
| FLA | 010 | 211 | 012 | 01 | 0 | 234 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:02FLADavid BoothAssists: Michael Frolik · Snap, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 9:05BOSDavid KrejciAssists: Michael Ryder, Zdeno Chara · Backhand, 0.16 xG1–1
- P2 15:51FLAMike SantorelliAssists: Michael Frolik, Bryan Allen · Tip-in, 0.05 xG1–2
- P3 10:35BOSDavid KrejciAssists: Blake Wheeler, Michael Ryder · Backhand, 0.12 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. FLA Mike Santorelli stopped
- 2. BOS Tyler Seguin stopped
- 3. FLA Stephen Weiss stopped
- 4. BOS Blake Wheeler scored
- 5. FLA Evgenii Dadonov stopped
Penalties (5)
- P1 16:23FLABill Thomas: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 18:05FLAMarty Reasoner: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:05BOSZdeno Chara: Diving2 min
- P2 16:39BOSTim Thomas: Delaying game illegal play by goalie2 min
- P3 6:14BOSMarc Savard: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Reinprecht won the faceoff against Campbell
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestRyder – Wheeler – Krejci11:22
xG 1.38–0.39 (78%)attempts 15–10goals 2–0
- Savard – Horton – Lucic12:25
xG 0.42–0.42 (50%)attempts 16–12goals 0–1
- Recchi – Bergeron – Seguin10:29
xG 0.41–0.46 (47%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Paille9:34
xG 0.20–0.26 (43%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeidenberg – Boychuk6:25
xG 0.61–0.24 (72%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Chara – Boychuk8:23
xG 0.27–0.05 (84%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Seidenberg – Kampfer8:21
xG 0.34–0.23 (60%)attempts 9–4goals 1–1
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- Reinprecht – Hordichuk – Thomas3:12
xG 0.06–0.01 (81%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Booth – Santorelli – Frolik9:54
xG 0.32–0.34 (48%)attempts 9–9goals 2–0
- Reasoner – Bernier – Matthias11:16
xG 0.21–0.34 (38%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Weiss – Higgins – Dadonov13:41
xG 0.23–0.67 (26%)attempts 9–19goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAllen – Weaver2:49
xG 0.26–0.15 (63%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Weaver – Garrison15:53
xG 0.43–0.41 (51%)attempts 15–17goals 1–0
- McCabe – Kulikov16:51
xG 0.47–0.71 (39%)attempts 15–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).