Wed, Dec 29, 2010·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 3, Phoenix Coyotes 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 39 | 09 | 08 | 326 |
| PHX | 412 | 210 | 09 | 631 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:31PHXShane DoanAssists: Scottie Upshall, Ed Jovanovski · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 7:39LAKBrad RichardsonAssists: Anze Kopitar, Kevin Westgarth · Wrist, 0.38 xG1–1
- P1 9:20PHXRay WhitneyAssists: Keith Yandle, Lauri Korpikoski · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–2
- P1 11:24LAKRyan SmythPPAssists: Drew Doughty, Jack Johnson · Slap, 0.02 xG2–2
- P1 12:16PHXScottie UpshallAssists: Shane Doan, Keith Yandle · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–3
- P1 15:34PHXBrett MacLeanPPGWGAssists: Scottie Upshall, Adrian Aucoin · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–4
- P1 16:07LAKMarco SturmAssists: Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–4
- P2 6:11PHXShane DoanPPAssists: Ray Whitney, Keith Yandle · Slap, 0.03 xG3–5
- P2 10:03PHXKyle TurrisUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–6
Penalties (9)
- P1 9:47PHXVernon Fiddler: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 13:59LAKAlec Martinez: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 5:13LAKDavis Drewiske: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:30LAKKevin Westgarth: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:30PHXPaul Bissonnette: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:39LAKJack Johnson: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:33PHXMikkel Boedker: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:17LAKJustin Williams: Slashing2 min
- P3 13:21LAKBrad Richardson: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Korpikoski
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- Sturm – Brown – Kopitar10:52
xG 0.38–0.38 (50%)attempts 11–11goals 1–0
- Smyth – Williams – Stoll11:10
xG 0.11–0.16 (42%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Handzus – Simmonds – Clifford10:12
xG 0.48–0.54 (47%)attempts 10–16goals 0–0
- Richardson – Lewis – Westgarth6:56
xG 0.04–0.19 (19%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestScuderi – Greene5:17
xG 0.45–0.14 (76%)attempts 6–7goals 1–1
- Scuderi – Drewiske3:53
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Greene – Martinez5:15
xG 0.24–0.03 (89%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestWhitney – Stempniak – Korpikoski8:45
xG 0.29–0.19 (60%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Doan – Belanger – Upshall11:06
xG 0.54–0.48 (53%)attempts 14–6goals 1–1
- MacLean – Turris – Boedker9:07
xG 0.27–0.24 (52%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Fiddler – Bissonnette – Wolski7:21
xG 0.01–0.23 (4%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAucoin – Jovanovski13:08
xG 0.32–0.15 (68%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Morris – Yandle14:17
xG 0.75–0.76 (50%)attempts 16–12goals 1–1
- Lepisto – Ekman-Larsson15:38
xG 0.40–0.46 (47%)attempts 14–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).