Thu, Dec 30, 2010·Philips Arena, Atlanta
Boston Bruins 2, Atlanta Thrashers 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 112 | 112 | 018 | 02 | 0 | 244 |
| ATL | 112 | 18 | 07 | 05 | 2 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:23ATLToby EnstromPPAssists: Dustin Byfuglien, Niclas Bergfors · Slap, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 14:09BOSPatrice BergeronUnassisted · Backhand, 0.07 xG1–1
- P2 0:55BOSBlake WheelerAssists: David Krejci · Snap, 0.04 xG2–1
- P2 9:21ATLToby EnstromUnassisted · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. ATL Tim Stapleton scored
- 2. BOS Tyler Seguin stopped
- 3. ATL Bryan Little scored
- 4. BOS Blake Wheeler stopped
Penalties (10)
- P1 2:03BOSMarc Savard: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 7:40BOSBlake Wheeler: Hooking2 min
- P2 6:21ATLTim Stapleton: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 7:38BOSNathan Horton: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:41BOSAdam McQuaid: Boarding2 min
- P2 11:32BOSDaniel Paille: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:32ATLDustin Byfuglien: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:37BOSAndrew Ference: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:34ATLJim Slater: Tripping2 min
- P3 14:22ATLJim Slater: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Burmistrov won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestSavard – Horton – Lucic11:13
xG 0.59–0.21 (74%)attempts 19–9goals 0–0
- Ryder – Wheeler – Krejci13:36
xG 0.61–0.52 (54%)attempts 23–9goals 1–0
- Thornton – Paille – Seguin4:22
xG 0.03–0.02 (61%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Recchi – Bergeron – Marchand9:55
xG 0.35–0.46 (43%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeidenberg – Kampfer11:06
xG 0.30–0.08 (79%)attempts 15–3goals 0–0
- Ference – Seidenberg3:09
xG 0.25–0.10 (72%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Chara – Boychuk14:19
xG 0.76–0.65 (54%)attempts 28–15goals 1–0
Atlanta Thrashers
Forward lines
- bestBoulton – Thorburn – Slater8:05
xG 0.31–0.12 (73%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Modin – Bergfors – Cormier4:45
xG 0.15–0.23 (39%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Stewart – Ladd – Peverley9:15
xG 0.42–0.54 (44%)attempts 7–19goals 0–2
- Stapleton – Little – Burmistrov9:28
xG 0.06–0.28 (18%)attempts 4–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEnstrom – Byfuglien13:35
xG 0.66–0.35 (66%)attempts 18–17goals 0–2
- Sopel – Hainsey12:45
xG 0.42–0.49 (47%)attempts 10–18goals 0–0
- Oduya – Bogosian13:26
xG 0.16–0.68 (19%)attempts 6–26goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ATL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ATL is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ATL − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).