Mon, Jan 3, 2011·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Los Angeles Kings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 16 | 112 | 210 | 428 |
| LAK | 113 | 15 | 111 | 329 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:28LAKMichal HandzusAssists: Jack Johnson, Alec Martinez · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 18:42CHIMarian HossaPPAssists: Tomas Kopecky, Patrick Sharp · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–1
- P2 7:11CHIPatrick SharpPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Jonathan Toews · Slap, 0.06 xG2–1
- P2 18:17LAKRyan SmythAssists: Justin Williams · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–2
- P3 4:27CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Tomas Kopecky · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–2
- P3 12:42LAKRyan SmythPPAssists: Jack Johnson, Anze Kopitar · Tip-in, 0.17 xG3–3
- P3 14:33CHIJonathan ToewsGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.14 xG4–3
Penalties (9)
- P1 2:27CHIPatrick Sharp: Slashing2 min
- P1 9:04CHIBryan Bickell: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:40LAKRob Scuderi: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 6:41LAKAnze Kopitar: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 14:16LAKJustin Williams: Interference2 min
- P3 7:59CHIPatrick Kane: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 10:02CHIDuncan Keith: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 11:39CHIJonathan Toews: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 16:05LAKJustin Williams: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Brouwer – Toews9:41
xG 0.52–0.13 (81%)attempts 12–4goals 1–0
- Pisani – Bolland – Kane11:22
xG 0.47–0.33 (59%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Johnson – Skille – Stalberg5:33
xG 0.06–0.23 (20%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Kopecky – Sharp – Bickell10:07
xG 0.34–0.87 (28%)attempts 6–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Keith – Seabrook15:12
xG 0.63–0.61 (51%)attempts 17–14goals 1–2
- Campbell – Hjalmarsson15:52
xG 0.14–0.36 (28%)attempts 10–15goals 0–0
- Cullimore – Hendry10:18
xG 0.38–0.84 (31%)attempts 7–8goals 1–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestSmyth – Williams – Stoll11:16
xG 0.58–0.17 (78%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Sturm – Brown – Kopitar7:33
xG 0.14–0.13 (52%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Richardson – Lewis – Westgarth3:13
xG 0.01–0.02 (34%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Handzus – Simmonds – Clifford8:39
xG 0.32–0.35 (48%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMartinez – Drewiske12:13
xG 0.90–0.27 (77%)attempts 13–9goals 0–1
- Johnson – Doughty17:28
xG 0.56–0.74 (43%)attempts 11–16goals 1–1
- Scuderi – Greene13:27
xG 0.34–0.54 (39%)attempts 12–15goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).