Fri, Jan 7, 2011·Honda Center, Anaheim
Columbus Blue Jackets 0, Anaheim Ducks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 010 | 07 | 010 | 027 |
| ANA | 19 | 211 | 39 | 629 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:48ANATeemu SelannePPGWGAssists: Saku Koivu, Lubomir Visnovsky · Slap, 0.06 xG0–1
- P2 7:02ANATeemu SelannePPAssists: Cam Fowler, Lubomir Visnovsky · Slap, 0.04 xG0–2
- P2 13:02ANAMatt BeleskeyAssists: Maxim Lapierre, Toni Lydman · Slap, 0.02 xG0–3
- P3 1:26ANABobby RyanAssists: Corey Perry, Cam Fowler · Tip-in, 0.33 xG0–4
- P3 7:55ANABobby RyanPPAssists: Cam Fowler, Joffrey Lupul · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–5
- P3 15:22ANABrandon McMillanSHAssists: Matt Beleskey, Luca Sbisa · Backhand, 0.11 xG0–6
Penalties (20)
- P1 5:35CBJMatt Calvert: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 7:45ANAAndy Sutton: Interference2 min
- P1 10:57CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
- P1 10:57ANAGeorge Parros: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:15ANALubomir Visnovsky: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:14CBJSamuel Pahlsson: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 10:14ANACorey Perry: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:14ANACorey Perry: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:14CBJJared Boll: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:14CBJJared Boll: High sticking2 min
- P2 19:32CBJDerick Brassard: Interference2 min
- P2 19:32ANAMatt Beleskey: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:35CBJFedor Tyutin: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 10:27CBJAndrew Murray: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:42CBJDerek Dorsett: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:42ANACorey Perry: Roughing2 min
- P3 14:02CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
- P3 14:02ANAAndy Sutton: Instigator2 min
- P3 14:02ANAAndy Sutton: Fighting5 min
- P3 14:02ANAAndy Sutton: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lapierre won the faceoff against Pahlsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestUmberger – Brassard – Voracek11:14
xG 0.23–0.11 (68%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Huselius – Vermette – Nash13:57
xG 0.58–0.49 (54%)attempts 13–8goals 0–1
- MacKenzie – Boll – Calvert4:43
xG 0.12–0.09 (59%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Pahlsson – Murray – Dorsett9:38
xG 0.26–0.47 (35%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Stralman15:31
xG 0.76–0.44 (63%)attempts 17–7goals 0–0
- Klesla – Methot17:06
xG 0.54–0.46 (54%)attempts 14–10goals 0–1
- Hejda – Russell12:09
xG 0.20–0.29 (41%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestSelanne – Koivu – Blake10:54
xG 0.50–0.43 (54%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Marchant – Parros – Sexton9:09
xG 0.14–0.24 (37%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Lupul – Lapierre – McMillan8:46
xG 0.07–0.17 (28%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Perry – Ryan – Beleskey8:27
xG 0.10–0.36 (21%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVisnovsky – Fowler2:30
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Lydman – Visnovsky15:03
xG 0.34–0.50 (40%)attempts 8–11goals 1–0
- Lilja – Fowler15:16
xG 0.29–0.47 (38%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).