Sat, Jan 8, 2011·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Detroit Red Wings 2, Vancouver Canucks 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 07 | 08 | 117 | 01 | 1 | 233 |
| VAN | 011 | 19 | 013 | 02 | 0 | 135 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 12:09VANDaniel SedinPPAssists: Ryan Kesler, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
- P3 0:42DETJohan FranzenPPAssists: Henrik Zetterberg, Brian Rafalski · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. VAN Jeff Tambellini stopped
- 2. DET Jiri Hudler scored
- 3. VAN Ryan Kesler stopped
- 4. DET Todd Bertuzzi stopped
- 5. VAN Daniel Sedin stopped
Penalties (10)
- P1 11:30DETHenrik Zetterberg: Holding2 min
- P1 18:43VANDaniel Sedin: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:18DETJustin Abdelkader: High sticking2 min
- P2 9:31VANJeff Tambellini: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 10:24DETTomas Holmstrom: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 13:46VANAlexandre Burrows: Interference2 min
- P2 16:50DETJonathan Ericsson: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:55VANAlexander Edler: Slashing2 min
- P2 19:53VANKevin Bieksa: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 13:23DETDarren Helm: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zetterberg won the faceoff against Malhotra
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- Draper – Helm – Tatar7:05
xG 0.24–0.20 (55%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Holmstrom – Zetterberg7:39
xG 0.22–0.22 (50%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Miller – Abdelkader – Mursak5:43
xG 0.05–0.16 (25%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Hudler – Eaves – Franzen7:13
xG 0.38–0.63 (38%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLidstrom – Kronwall9:49
xG 0.46–0.26 (64%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
- Rafalski – Ericsson9:23
xG 0.39–0.28 (59%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Salei – Kronwall3:56
xG 0.07–0.06 (53%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Burrows11:55
xG 0.69–0.45 (61%)attempts 19–12goals 0–0
- Bolduc – Glass – Hansen5:26
xG 0.16–0.05 (75%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Kesler – Tambellini – Raymond6:43
xG 0.42–0.37 (53%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Kesler – Hansen – Raymond2:35
xG 0.06–0.08 (42%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEhrhoff – Edler13:35
xG 0.94–0.73 (56%)attempts 22–17goals 0–0
- Alberts – Ballard11:34
xG 0.29–0.26 (53%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Bieksa14:08
xG 0.30–0.36 (45%)attempts 17–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).