Sun, Jan 9, 2011·United Center, Chicago
New York Islanders 0, Chicago Blackhawks 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 08 | 07 | 014 | 029 |
| CHI | 116 | 416 | 013 | 545 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:52CHIPatrick SharpPPGWGAssists: Patrick Kane, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
- P2 2:10CHIMarian HossaAssists: Tomas Kopecky, Patrick Sharp · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–2
- P2 7:19CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Jonathan Toews, Niklas Hjalmarsson · Slap, 0.07 xG0–3
- P2 16:24CHIDave BollandAssists: Marian Hossa, Bryan Bickell · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–4
- P2 19:04CHINiklas HjalmarssonAssists: Marian Hossa, Brian Campbell · Slap, 0.06 xG0–5
Penalties (9)
- P1 1:13NYIMilan Jurcina: Interference2 min
- P1 3:59NYIBruno Gervais: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 3:36NYIMatt Martin: Boarding2 min
- P2 19:16CHIBryan Bickell: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:16NYITravis Hamonic: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:16CHIBryan Bickell: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:16NYITravis Hamonic: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:17CHIBrent Seabrook: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:44NYITravis Hamonic: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Konopka won the faceoff against Sharp
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestKonopka – Joensuu – Martin11:52
xG 0.97–0.60 (62%)attempts 8–18goals 0–1
- Sim – Colliton – Grabner6:37
xG 0.45–0.22 (68%)attempts 12–4goals 0–1
- Parenteau – Moulson – Tavares13:31
xG 0.48–0.67 (42%)attempts 13–12goals 0–1
- Schremp – Comeau – Bailey12:41
xG 0.60–1.35 (31%)attempts 8–17goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGervais – Reese10:00
xG 0.50–0.22 (69%)attempts 9–10goals 0–2
- Jurcina – Gervais2:05
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- MacDonald – Hamonic13:58
xG 0.69–0.94 (42%)attempts 15–17goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBrouwer – Toews – Kane11:34
xG 1.62–0.23 (88%)attempts 22–6goals 1–0
- Dowell – Skille – Stalberg8:33
xG 0.36–0.45 (44%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
- Pisani – Bolland – Bickell8:31
xG 0.06–0.46 (11%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Hossa – Kopecky – Sharp13:32
xG 0.43–1.22 (26%)attempts 16–11goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestCampbell – Hjalmarsson13:24
xG 1.71–0.32 (84%)attempts 22–9goals 2–0
- Keith – Seabrook17:01
xG 0.99–0.69 (59%)attempts 19–15goals 1–0
- Campbell – Keith3:04
xG 0.15–0.15 (51%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it NYI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − NYI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).