Thu, Jan 20, 2011·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
San Jose Sharks 2, Vancouver Canucks 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 010 | 125 | 09 | 02 | 1 | 246 |
| VAN | 117 | 09 | 08 | 03 | 0 | 137 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:08VANHenrik SedinAssists: Daniel Sedin, Dan Hamhuis · Deflected, 0.20 xG0–1
- P2 13:46SJSLogan CoutureUnassisted · Wrist, 0.26 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. VAN Mason Raymond stopped
- 2. SJS Logan Couture stopped
- 3. VAN Daniel Sedin stopped
- 4. SJS Joe Pavelski scored
- 5. VAN Ryan Kesler stopped
Penalties (9)
- P1 2:46SJSJason Demers: Tripping2 min
- P1 13:38SJSJamal Mayers: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:38VANTanner Glass: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:37SJSJohn McCarthy: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:25VANManny Malhotra: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:57SJSJoe Thornton: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:46SJSDany Heatley: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 18:10VANMikael Samuelsson: Roughing2 min
- OT 0:47SJSDan Boyle: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thornton won the faceoff against Malhotra
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Marleau – Pavelski10:01
xG 0.91–0.14 (87%)attempts 20–5goals 0–0
- Marleau – Pavelski – Setoguchi4:02
xG 0.18–0.05 (77%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Heatley – Setoguchi – Couture6:48
xG 0.37–0.27 (58%)attempts 5–9goals 1–0
- Wellwood – Eager – Ferriero2:41
xG 0.20–0.16 (56%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBoyle – Murray18:27
xG 1.11–0.30 (79%)attempts 19–14goals 1–0
- Vlasic – Joslin12:45
xG 0.85–0.54 (61%)attempts 20–11goals 0–1
- Wallin – Demers12:22
xG 0.40–0.28 (59%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Burrows14:23
xG 1.34–0.64 (68%)attempts 18–9goals 1–0
- Samuelsson – Kesler – Raymond4:29
xG 0.06–0.11 (33%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Samuelsson – Kesler – Shirokov6:26
xG 0.10–0.16 (39%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Tambellini – Glass – Raymond5:35
xG 0.11–0.36 (23%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Hamhuis – Bieksa16:02
xG 1.07–1.05 (50%)attempts 17–22goals 1–0
- Ehrhoff – Edler17:34
xG 0.52–0.69 (43%)attempts 16–12goals 0–1
- Ballard – Tanev10:32
xG 0.40–0.71 (36%)attempts 10–16goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).