Sun, Jan 23, 2011·United Center, Chicago
Philadelphia Flyers 4, Chicago Blackhawks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 09 | 119 | 36 | 434 |
| CHI | 011 | 09 | 111 | 131 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:49PHIJeff CarterAssists: Claude Giroux, Nikolay Zherdev · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–0
- P3 2:28PHINikolay ZherdevGWGAssists: Claude Giroux · Wrap-around, 0.05 xG2–0
- P3 5:21PHIJeff CarterAssists: Claude Giroux · Tip-in, 0.20 xG3–0
- P3 6:49CHIMarian HossaUnassisted · Wrist, 0.36 xG3–1
- P3 19:08PHIScott HartnellENAssists: Jeff Carter, Claude Giroux · Backhand, 0.63 xG4–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 6:37PHIScott Hartnell: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:37CHIBryan Bickell: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:18CHINiklas Hjalmarsson: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:13PHIBraydon Coburn: Holding2 min
- P2 7:04PHIDaniel Brière: Cross checking2 min
- P2 13:46CHIJake Dowell: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:46PHIDaniel Carcillo: Fighting5 min
- P3 6:49PHIBraydon Coburn: Penalty shot covering puck in crease0 min
- P3 8:50CHITroy Brouwer: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bolland won the faceoff against Brière
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestZherdev – Carter – Giroux10:46
xG 1.21–0.48 (72%)attempts 16–7goals 3–0
- Brière – Hartnell – Leino11:27
xG 0.65–0.17 (79%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Richards – Carcillo – Nodl5:54
xG 0.02–0.06 (28%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Shelley – Betts – Powe6:19
xG 0.02–0.16 (12%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTimonen – Coburn12:57
xG 1.18–0.61 (66%)attempts 15–12goals 2–0
- Carle – Meszaros2:06
xG 0.00–0.09 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
- O'Donnell – Meszaros12:39
xG 0.11–0.31 (26%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDowell – Stalberg – Scott5:04
xG 0.30–0.01 (97%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Brouwer – Toews – Kane11:54
xG 0.55–0.35 (61%)attempts 10–7goals 0–1
- Pisani – Bolland – Bickell10:16
xG 0.05–0.34 (13%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Hossa – Kopecky – Sharp11:54
xG 0.72–1.35 (35%)attempts 13–19goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHendry – Leddy7:12
xG 0.75–0.10 (89%)attempts 12–1goals 0–0
- Keith – Seabrook21:54
xG 1.31–0.78 (63%)attempts 27–12goals 0–1
- Campbell – Keith2:04
xG 0.04–0.09 (32%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).