Tue, Jan 25, 2011·United Center, Chicago
Minnesota Wild 4, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 18 | 29 | 15 | 422 |
| CHI | 212 | 011 | 010 | 233 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:47MINMartin HavlatAssists: Kyle Brodziak · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P1 3:49CHIPatrick SharpPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P1 9:24CHITroy BrouwerAssists: Jonathan Toews, Brian Campbell · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–2
- P2 2:31MINChuck KobasewAssists: Jared Spurgeon, Pierre-Marc Bouchard · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–2
- P2 16:13MINAntti MiettinenGWGAssists: Andrew Brunette, Mikko Koivu · Tip-in, 0.12 xG3–2
- P3 10:23MINPierre-Marc BouchardAssists: Matt Cullen, Chuck Kobasew · Backhand, 0.30 xG4–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 2:59MINCam Barker: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 10:53CHINick Boynton: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 12:07CHIDave Bolland: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:05MINKyle Brodziak: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:05CHIBrent Seabrook: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sharp won the faceoff against Madden
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestHavlat – Brodziak – Clutterbuck12:14
xG 0.80–0.35 (70%)attempts 12–11goals 1–0
- Cullen – Kobasew – Bouchard9:54
xG 0.39–0.24 (63%)attempts 7–8goals 2–1
- Brunette – Miettinen – Koivu13:40
xG 0.30–0.50 (38%)attempts 4–15goals 1–0
- Madden – Nystrom – Staubitz8:02
xG 0.00–0.33 (0%)attempts 3–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchultz – Burns19:39
xG 1.21–0.33 (79%)attempts 16–17goals 2–0
- Barker – Spurgeon11:32
xG 0.21–0.17 (55%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Zanon – Stoner19:32
xG 0.17–1.08 (13%)attempts 10–26goals 1–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestJohnson – Dowell – Skille5:46
xG 0.29–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Kopecky – Sharp – Stalberg6:15
xG 0.16–0.04 (81%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
- Sharp – Toews – Kane2:03
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Pisani – Bolland – Bickell10:14
xG 0.29–0.36 (45%)attempts 11–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestCampbell – Hjalmarsson17:53
xG 0.61–0.36 (63%)attempts 19–11goals 0–0
- Boynton – Leddy9:30
xG 0.15–0.07 (68%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
- Campbell – Leddy3:53
xG 0.07–0.06 (56%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).