Tue, Feb 1, 2011·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Vancouver Canucks 4, Dallas Stars 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 07 | 311 | 18 | 426 |
| DAL | 08 | 19 | 09 | 126 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:26VANMikael SamuelssonPPAssists: Christian Ehrhoff, Daniel Sedin · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P2 3:05VANChristian EhrhoffPPGWGAssists: Daniel Sedin, Mikael Samuelsson · Slap, 0.04 xG2–0
- P2 6:22DALLoui ErikssonAssists: Brad Richards, Kari Lehtonen · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–1
- P2 14:25VANRyan KeslerSHAssists: Jannik Hansen · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–1
- P3 14:57VANAlexandre BurrowsAssists: Henrik Sedin · Backhand, 0.24 xG4–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:41VANChristian Ehrhoff: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:17DALStephane Robidas: Cross checking2 min
- P1 13:04VANRyan Kesler: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 17:27VANTanner Glass: Boarding2 min
- P1 19:41DALJames Neal: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 2:57DALAdam Burish: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 13:18VANLee Sweatt: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:04VANKevin Bieksa: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Ribeiro won the faceoff against Malhotra
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Burrows11:13
xG 0.89–0.33 (73%)attempts 17–9goals 1–1
- Malhotra – Torres – Hansen8:28
xG 0.26–0.05 (84%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Glass – Hodgson – Volpatti2:54
xG 0.06–0.02 (73%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Samuelsson – Kesler – Raymond11:38
xG 0.18–0.22 (44%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Sweatt2:12
xG 0.36–0.02 (94%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Ehrhoff – Sweatt12:19
xG 0.48–0.17 (74%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Bieksa13:54
xG 0.61–0.51 (54%)attempts 19–17goals 1–1
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestRichards – Eriksson – Neal11:45
xG 0.50–0.15 (77%)attempts 16–7goals 0–0
- Ott – Burish – Gagnon5:03
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Ott – Burish – Morin3:39
xG 0.07–0.05 (58%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Barch – Sutherby – Gagnon3:40
xG 0.02–0.06 (26%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Skrastins – Niskanen11:25
xG 0.15–0.15 (50%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Daley – Niskanen3:01
xG 0.07–0.09 (43%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Robidas – Grossmann13:32
xG 0.16–0.21 (44%)attempts 8–12goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).