Wed, Feb 9, 2011·TD Garden, Boston
Montréal Canadiens 6, Boston Bruins 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 08 | 416 | 29 | 633 |
| BOS | 218 | 411 | 25 | 834 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:16BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Mark Recchi · Backhand, 0.17 xG0–1
- P1 13:28BOSDennis SeidenbergAssists: Nathan Horton · Snap, 0.24 xG0–2
- P2 0:25MTLBrian GiontaAssists: Roman Hamrlik, James Wisniewski · Snap, 0.15 xG1–2
- P2 8:30MTLP.K. SubbanPPAssists: Brian Gionta, Tomas Plekanec · Slap, 0.02 xG2–2
- P2 9:48BOSAdam McQuaidAssists: Nathan Horton, Milan Lucic · Snap, 0.07 xG2–3
- P2 11:01MTLYannick WeberAssists: Mathieu Darche, David Desharnais · Slap, 0.12 xG3–3
- P2 11:32BOSMichael RyderAssists: Blake Wheeler, Zach Hamill · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–4
- P2 12:31BOSMilan LucicAssists: Nathan Horton, David Krejci · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–5
- P2 12:48MTLDavid DesharnaisPPAssists: P.K. Subban, Yannick Weber · Tip-in, 0.02 xG4–5
- P2 14:49BOSMilan LucicAssists: David Krejci, Nathan Horton · Snap, 0.04 xG4–6
- P3 7:06MTLMax PaciorettyPPAssists: James Wisniewski, Carey Price · Snap, 0.23 xG5–6
- P3 10:01BOSMichael RyderPPGWGAssists: Dennis Seidenberg, Steven Kampfer · Snap, 0.13 xG5–7
- P3 14:54BOSNathan HortonAssists: David Krejci · Snap, 0.08 xG5–8
- P3 19:46MTLMax PaciorettyPPAssists: David Desharnais, Yannick Weber · Snap, 0.02 xG6–8
Penalties (45)
- P1 13:28BOSMilan Lucic: Cross checking2 min
- P1 13:28MTLTravis Moen: Cross checking2 min
- P1 14:26MTLScott Gomez: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:31MTLMax Pacioretty: Interference2 min
- P1 0:00MTLCarey Price: Roughing2 min
- P1 0:00MTLTravis Moen: Misconduct10 min
- P1 0:00BOSMilan Lucic: Roughing2 min
- P1 0:00BOSMilan Lucic: Roughing2 min
- P2 7:32BOSNathan Horton: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 12:36MTLBrian Gionta: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:36MTLBrian Gionta: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:36MTLJames Wisniewski: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:36MTLMax Pacioretty: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:36MTLCarey Price: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:36MTLCarey Price: Goalie leave crease2 min
- P2 12:36BOSMark Recchi: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 12:36BOSBrad Marchand: Charging2 min
- P2 12:36BOSBrad Marchand: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:36BOSZdeno Chara: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:36BOSSteven Kampfer: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:36BOSTim Thomas: Goalie leave crease2 min
- P2 12:36BOSTim Thomas: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:52BOSSteven Kampfer: Cross checking2 min
- P3 6:40BOSNathan Horton: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 8:06MTLDavid Desharnais: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 17:06MTLP.K. Subban: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:06MTLBenoit Pouliot: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:06BOSDavid Krejci: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P3 17:06BOSNathan Horton: Cross checking2 min
- P3 17:06BOSMilan Lucic: Misconduct10 min
- P3 19:11BOSAndrew Ference: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:11MTLTravis Moen: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:11BOSShawn Thornton: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:11BOSShawn Thornton: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:11BOSShawn Thornton: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 19:11BOSJohnny Boychuk: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:11BOSJohnny Boychuk: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 19:11MTLJaroslav Spacek: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:11BOSGregory Campbell: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:11MTLJaroslav Spacek: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 19:11MTLTom Pyatt: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:11MTLRoman Hamrlik: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:11MTLRoman Hamrlik: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 19:35BOSAdam McQuaid: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:35BOSAdam McQuaid: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Plekanec won the faceoff against Krejci
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestDarche – Pyatt – Desharnais2:21
xG 0.33–0.13 (72%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Darche – Pouliot – Desharnais6:08
xG 0.25–0.09 (74%)attempts 6–2goals 1–1
- Halpern – Moen – Pyatt4:19
xG 0.15–0.13 (54%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Gomez – Halpern – Kostitsyn2:55
xG 0.03–0.08 (28%)attempts 4–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Hamrlik – Wisniewski14:03
xG 0.31–0.42 (43%)attempts 12–9goals 0–2
- Subban – Weber2:54
xG 0.00–0.15 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Spacek – Weber11:02
xG 0.53–0.74 (42%)attempts 9–8goals 1–2
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestHorton – Krejci – Lucic10:55
xG 1.33–0.15 (90%)attempts 17–7goals 5–0
- Recchi – Bergeron – Marchand9:43
xG 0.35–0.03 (91%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
- Ryder – Campbell – Wheeler2:58
xG 0.37–0.13 (74%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Ryder – Wheeler – Hamill8:41
xG 0.21–0.12 (64%)attempts 3–5goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeidenberg – Kampfer2:18
xG 0.77–0.19 (80%)attempts 7–3goals 3–0
- Seidenberg – McQuaid10:45
xG 0.56–0.10 (84%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
- Ference – Boychuk7:45
xG 0.55–0.13 (81%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).