Fri, Feb 11, 2011·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Chicago Blackhawks 3, Dallas Stars 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 39 | 08 | 07 | 02 | 1 | 326 |
| DAL | 05 | 217 | 110 | 03 | 3 | 435 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:39CHIPatrick KaneUnassisted · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P1 4:10CHIBrent SeabrookAssists: Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–0
- P1 12:56CHIPatrick SharpPPAssists: Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.17 xG3–0
- P2 15:59DALStephane RobidasUnassisted · Wrap-around, 0.01 xG3–1
- P2 19:55DALBrad RichardsPPUnassisted · Slap, 0.04 xG3–2
- P3 0:47DALBrenden MorrowAssists: Jamie Langenbrunner, Stephane Robidas · Deflected, 0.11 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. DAL Brenden Morrow scored
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
- 3. DAL Brad Richards scored
- 4. CHI Patrick Sharp stopped
- 5. DAL Mike Ribeiro scored
Penalties (14)
- P1 9:32CHIPatrick Sharp: Boarding2 min
- P1 12:06DALStephane Robidas: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 14:05DALLoui Eriksson: High sticking2 min
- P1 15:16DALTrevor Daley: Delaying game2 min
- P1 15:32DALSteve Ott: Roughing2 min
- P1 15:32CHIDave Bolland: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:29DALMark Fistric: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:29CHIBryan Bickell: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:29DALMark Fistric: Interference2 min
- P2 13:32CHIBryan Bickell: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:19CHITroy Brouwer: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P3 2:09CHIBrent Seabrook: Delaying game2 min
- P3 7:42CHIMichael Frolik: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 15:35DALMike Ribeiro: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richards won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBolland – Bickell – Frolik4:50
xG 0.24–0.03 (88%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Kopecky – Dowell – Brouwer4:33
xG 0.11–0.00 (97%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Kopecky – Brouwer – Frolik5:08
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Pisani – Bolland – Bickell4:29
xG 0.13–0.07 (65%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCampbell – Hendry9:36
xG 0.17–0.10 (63%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Seabrook – Hjalmarsson14:47
xG 0.46–0.40 (54%)attempts 15–20goals 2–1
- Campbell – Keith2:26
xG 0.06–0.16 (28%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestLangenbrunner – Morrow – Ribeiro10:37
xG 0.57–0.21 (73%)attempts 8–10goals 1–1
- Ott – Wandell – Vincour4:54
xG 0.31–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–0goals 0–0
- Richards – Eriksson – Neal12:07
xG 0.24–0.32 (43%)attempts 10–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestRobidas – Grossmann11:46
xG 0.91–0.13 (87%)attempts 17–4goals 2–2
- Woywitka – Daley17:24
xG 0.47–0.46 (50%)attempts 13–20goals 0–0
- Skrastins – Fistric8:21
xG 0.04–0.07 (37%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).