Sat, Feb 12, 2011·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Phoenix Coyotes 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 012 | 15 | 111 | 05 | 0 | 233 |
| PHX | 110 | 19 | 05 | 01 | 1 | 325 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:06PHXRadim VrbataAssists: Ray Whitney · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–1
- P2 0:42PHXTaylor PyattAssists: Shane Doan, Sami Lepisto · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–2
- P2 13:17CHITroy BrouwerPPAssists: Marian Hossa, Dave Bolland · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–2
- P3 15:58CHIDuncan KeithPPAssists: Brian Campbell, Dave Bolland · Tip-in, 0.15 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. PHX Shane Doan stopped
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
- 3. PHX Radim Vrbata scored
- 4. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 5. PHX Ray Whitney stopped
- 6. CHI Marian Hossa stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 3:49PHXEd Jovanovski: Cross checking2 min
- P1 17:12CHIMichael Frolik: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:21CHINiklas Hjalmarsson: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:51PHXLauri Korpikoski: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
- P2 13:44CHIMichael Frolik: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 8:00PHXVernon Fiddler: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:41PHXAdrian Aucoin: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Hanzal
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Kopecky – Frolik9:03
xG 0.31–0.21 (59%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
- Taffe – Stalberg – Scott2:36
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Hossa – Bolland – Frolik2:13
xG 0.01–0.14 (8%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Sharp – Toews – Kane15:06
xG 0.55–0.75 (42%)attempts 15–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Leddy16:52
xG 0.63–0.29 (68%)attempts 17–5goals 0–1
- Campbell – Keith4:19
xG 0.26–0.28 (48%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Seabrook – Hjalmarsson14:17
xG 0.34–0.43 (44%)attempts 15–13goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestDoan – Belanger – Pyatt8:43
xG 0.55–0.26 (68%)attempts 11–8goals 1–0
- Upshall – Stempniak – Turris2:30
xG 0.21–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Doan – Upshall – Turris3:13
xG 0.15–0.06 (72%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Fiddler – Korpikoski – Boedker7:58
xG 0.28–0.22 (56%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJovanovski – Rozsival12:17
xG 0.53–0.17 (75%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Aucoin – Lepisto13:05
xG 0.29–0.22 (57%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Morris – Yandle15:27
xG 0.62–0.66 (48%)attempts 14–18goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).