Wed, Feb 16, 2011·United Center, Chicago
Minnesota Wild 1, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 017 | 08 | 19 | 134 |
| CHI | 110 | 018 | 29 | 337 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:59CHIBrian CampbellPPAssists: Dave Bolland, Marian Hossa · Slap, 0.05 xG0–1
- P3 6:59MINMatt CullenPPAssists: Jared Spurgeon, Mikko Koivu · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–1
- P3 7:33CHITroy BrouwerPPGWGAssists: Dave Bolland, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.25 xG1–2
- P3 19:01CHIJake DowellENAssists: Dave Bolland, Marian Hossa · Wrist, 0.66 xG1–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 5:21CHINiklas Hjalmarsson: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:37MINMatt Cullen: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 14:52CHIPatrick Kane: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 0:42MINClayton Stoner: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:57MINCal Clutterbuck: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 11:57MINNick Schultz: Tripping2 min
- P3 5:22CHIBryan Bickell: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P3 7:22MINChuck Kobasew: Throwing equipment2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- Press play, or drag along the timeline.
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestBrunette – Miettinen – Koivu8:39
xG 0.94–0.28 (77%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Cullen – Kobasew – Bouchard6:01
xG 0.62–0.45 (58%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Madden – Nystrom – Staubitz3:20
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Havlat – Brodziak – Clutterbuck8:31
xG 0.34–0.75 (31%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestZanon – Stoner13:45
xG 0.74–0.27 (73%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Barker – Spurgeon10:52
xG 0.89–0.46 (66%)attempts 15–7goals 0–0
- Schultz – Burns12:42
xG 0.33–0.69 (32%)attempts 11–16goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKopecky – Bickell – Brouwer9:40
xG 0.74–0.63 (54%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Dowell – Stalberg – Scott3:16
xG 0.12–0.03 (80%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Sharp – Toews – Kane11:34
xG 0.39–0.33 (54%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Hossa – Bolland – Frolik10:05
xG 0.32–0.84 (28%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Leddy9:50
xG 0.96–0.34 (74%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Campbell – Keith5:40
xG 0.61–0.09 (88%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Campbell – Hjalmarsson2:00
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).