Thu, Feb 17, 2011·Madison Square Garden, New York
Los Angeles Kings 3, New York Rangers 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 19 | 09 | 29 | 01 | 1 | 328 |
| NYR | 010 | 111 | 211 | 05 | 2 | 437 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:25LAKDustin BrownPPAssists: Justin Williams, Jack Johnson · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–0
- P2 4:01NYRRyan CallahanAssists: Derek Stepan, Artem Anisimov · Snap, 0.46 xG1–1
- P3 6:10NYRMarian GaborikAssists: Michael Sauer · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–2
- P3 7:50LAKMatt GreeneAssists: Brad Richardson, Anze Kopitar · Slap, 0.02 xG2–2
- P3 16:52NYRArtem AnisimovAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Ryan Callahan · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–3
- P3 17:39LAKDustin BrownAssists: Rob Scuderi, Alec Martinez · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. NYR Erik Christensen scored
- 2. LAK Michal Handzus stopped
- 3. NYR Mats Zuccarello scored
- 4. LAK Jarret Stoll scored
- 5. NYR Wojtek Wolski stopped
- 6. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:28NYRBrandon Dubinsky: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P1 6:38LAKDrew Doughty: Cross checking2 min
- P1 18:52LAKAnze Kopitar: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:54NYRMichael Del Zotto: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:38NYRBrandon Dubinsky: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 0:00LAKAlexei Ponikarovsky: High sticking double minor4 min
- OT 1:48NYRBrandon Dubinsky: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Boyle won the faceoff against Stoll
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestHandzus – Ponikarovsky – Brown4:15
xG 0.29–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 1–0
- Ponikarovsky – Richardson – Lewis6:01
xG 0.35–0.17 (68%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Handzus – Kopitar – Simmonds5:31
xG 0.14–0.28 (33%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Brown – Loktionov – Clifford5:57
xG 0.08–0.27 (22%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Martinez8:18
xG 0.59–0.23 (72%)attempts 13–6goals 1–0
- Johnson – Doughty2:57
xG 0.00–0.38 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Scuderi – Johnson17:25
xG 0.17–0.62 (22%)attempts 8–20goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestCallahan – Anisimov – Stepan6:34
xG 0.78–0.20 (79%)attempts 7–5goals 1–1
- Avery – Boyle – Prust7:29
xG 0.34–0.17 (67%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
- Prospal – Gaborik – Dubinsky6:40
xG 0.45–0.33 (57%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Avery – Anisimov – Stepan4:07
xG 0.22–0.14 (61%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSauer – McDonagh15:02
xG 1.33–0.36 (79%)attempts 18–14goals 3–0
- Staal – Girardi19:12
xG 0.85–0.73 (54%)attempts 11–20goals 0–2
- Del Zotto – Gilroy8:33
xG 0.40–0.28 (59%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).