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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 17, 2011·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose

Washington Capitals 2, San Jose Sharks 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 67% of the time.

SJS winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:51Shot by Bradley, saved by Niemi
  3. P1 3:08Shot by Carlson, saved by Niemi
  4. P1 7:23Shot by Pavelski, saved by Neuvirth
  5. P1 8:04Shot by Couture, saved by Neuvirth
  6. P1 9:53Shot by Backstrom, saved by Niemi
  7. P1 10:08Shot by Wellwood, saved by Neuvirth
  8. P1 11:22Shot by Erskine, saved by Niemi
  9. P1 11:29Shot by Eager, saved by Neuvirth
  10. P1 12:52Shot by Backstrom, saved by Niemi
  11. P1 12:53Shot by Knuble, saved by Niemi
  12. P1 12:54Shot by Knuble, saved by Niemi
  13. P1 13:56Ovechkin: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Boyle, Murray, Heatley, Pavelski, Mitchell · WSH Knuble, Hannan, Ovechkin, Schultz, Backstrom

  14. P1 16:01Shot by Murray, saved by Neuvirth
  15. P1 17:23Shot by Chimera, saved by Niemi
  16. P1 18:40Eager: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Nichol, Huskins, Eager, Setoguchi, Demers · WSH Knuble, Sloan, Ovechkin, Schultz, Backstrom

  17. P1 18:49Goal by Pavelski (Marleau)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Boyle, Murray, Pavelski · WSH Laich, Semin, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson

  18. P1 19:11Goal by Ovechkin (Carlson, Semin)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Boyle, Murray, Pavelski · WSH Laich, Semin, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson

  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:19Shot by Knuble, saved by Niemi
  22. P2 0:22Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Niemi
  23. P2 2:18Shot by Bradley, saved by Niemi
  24. P2 4:16Shot by Murray, saved by Neuvirth
  25. P2 4:26Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Niemi
  26. P2 4:58Shot by Knuble, saved by Niemi
  27. P2 6:19Shot by Wallin, saved by Neuvirth
  28. P2 8:17Shot by Carlson, saved by Niemi
  29. P2 8:50Shot by Demers, saved by Neuvirth
  30. P2 9:02Shot by Clowe, saved by Neuvirth
  31. P2 10:01Shot by Eager, saved by Neuvirth
  32. P2 10:55Shot by Clowe, saved by Neuvirth
  33. P2 11:36Shot by Thornton, saved by Neuvirth
  34. P2 14:08Shot by Chimera, saved by Niemi
  35. P2 16:15Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Niemi
  36. P2 17:02Shot by Laich, saved by Niemi
  37. P2 19:11Shot by Marleau, saved by Neuvirth
  38. P2 0:00Period end
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 1:52Shot by Couture, saved by Neuvirth
  41. P3 2:15Shot by Demers, saved by Neuvirth
  42. P3 2:37Shot by Boyle, saved by Neuvirth
  43. P3 3:38Shot by Heatley, saved by Neuvirth
  44. P3 4:27Goal by Clowe (Wellwood, Couture)+29 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Boyle, Huskins, Wellwood, Clowe, Couture · WSH Bradley, Hannan, Chimera, Schultz, Perreault

  45. P3 4:38Shot by Mayers, saved by Neuvirth
  46. P3 5:52Shot by Demers, saved by Neuvirth
  47. P3 6:51Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Niemi
  48. P3 7:39Shot by Couture, saved by Neuvirth
  49. P3 9:55Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Niemi
  50. P3 10:27Erskine: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Mayers, Nichol, Boyle, Murray, Eager · WSH Erskine, Sloan, Gordon, Ovechkin, Backstrom

  51. P3 10:49Goal by Heatley (Thornton, Pavelski)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Heatley, Pavelski · WSH Steckel, Gordon, Alzner, Carlson

  52. P3 11:44Shot by Alzner, saved by Niemi
  53. P3 14:18Shot by Thornton, saved by Neuvirth
  54. P3 15:31Shot by Gordon, saved by Niemi
  55. P3 15:55Shot by Mayers, saved by Neuvirth
  56. P3 17:02Shot by Murray, saved by Neuvirth
  57. P3 17:44Shot by Semin, saved by Niemi
  58. P3 18:05Goal by Backstrom (Carlson, Ovechkin)+7 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Murray, Setoguchi · WSH Knuble, Semin, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson

  59. P3 18:36Shot by Mitchell, saved by Neuvirth
  60. P3 19:38Shot by Boyle, saved by Neuvirth
  61. P3 19:51Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Niemi5v6
  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Final