Fri, Feb 25, 2011·Verizon Center, Washington
New York Rangers 6, Washington Capitals 0
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 210 | 211 | 27 | 628 |
| WSH | 013 | 011 | 011 | 035 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:56NYRSteve EmingerGWGAssists: Derek Stepan · Slap, 0.05 xG1–0
- P1 14:47NYRErik ChristensenAssists: Michael Sauer, Brian Boyle · Deflected, 0.10 xG2–0
- P2 4:19NYRErik ChristensenPPAssists: Ryan Callahan, Vinny Prospal · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–0
- P2 17:52NYRDerek StepanPPAssists: Michael Del Zotto, Mats Zuccarello · Wrist, 0.56 xG4–0
- P3 6:16NYRVinny ProspalAssists: Erik Christensen, Matt Gilroy · Wrist, 0.18 xG5–0
- P3 19:26NYRBrian BoyleAssists: Erik Christensen, Brandon Prust · Wrist, 0.20 xG6–0
Penalties (10)
- P1 2:25NYRMichael Sauer: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:25WSHJason Chimera: Fighting5 min
- P1 10:47NYRRuslan Fedotenko: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 17:42NYRRyan McDonagh: Holding2 min
- P2 3:06WSHAlexander Semin: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 13:29NYRRyan Callahan: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:13WSHMatt Bradley: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 1:03NYRVinny Prospal: Holding2 min
- P3 1:45WSHBrooks Laich: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 11:16NYRRyan McDonagh: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Johansson won the faceoff against Anisimov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestFedotenko – Avery – Prust4:13
xG 0.77–0.08 (91%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Prospal – Christensen – Boyle6:50
xG 0.52–0.12 (81%)attempts 7–6goals 2–0
- Wolski – Stepan – Zuccarello7:22
xG 0.50–0.10 (83%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Avery – Boyle – Prust3:27
xG 0.04–0.02 (64%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSauer – Gilroy10:55
xG 1.11–0.44 (72%)attempts 13–11goals 2–0
- Eminger – Del Zotto10:54
xG 0.93–0.73 (56%)attempts 7–16goals 1–0
- Girardi – McDonagh13:13
xG 0.17–0.47 (26%)attempts 6–19goals 0–0
Washington Capitals
Forward lines
- bestKnuble – Ovechkin – Backstrom10:26
xG 0.96–0.38 (72%)attempts 17–6goals 0–0
- Chimera – Hendricks – Perreault2:58
xG 0.03–0.02 (68%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Bradley – Steckel – Gordon2:13
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Laich – Semin – Johansson7:00
xG 0.07–0.14 (33%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHannan – Alzner2:30
xG 0.66–0.00 (100%)attempts 10–0goals 0–0
- Hannan – Erskine6:52
xG 0.29–0.02 (95%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Hannan – Schultz10:41
xG 0.24–0.18 (58%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WSH is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WSH − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).