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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 25, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

New Jersey Devils 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.

TBL winsNJD wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:31Shot by Arnott, saved by Roloson
  3. P1 5:11Shot by Greene, saved by Roloson
  4. P1 7:57Shot by Zajac, saved by Roloson
  5. P1 9:02Shot by Hall, saved by Hedberg
  6. P1 9:38Shot by Smaby, saved by Hedberg
  7. P1 10:26Shot by Pelley, saved by Roloson
  8. P1 11:00Shot by Hall, saved by Hedberg
  9. P1 12:47Shot by Purcell, saved by Hedberg
  10. P1 14:35Shot by Hall, saved by Hedberg
  11. P1 14:46Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Hedberg
  12. P1 15:09Shot by Zajac, saved by Roloson
  13. P1 15:23Shot by Purcell, saved by Hedberg
  14. P1 17:32Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Hedberg
  15. P1 18:06Shot by Tallinder, saved by Roloson
  16. P1 18:52Shot by Rolston, saved by Roloson
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:17Shot by Palmieri, saved by Roloson
  20. P2 2:20Goal by St. Louis (Downie, Stamkos)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Bergeron, Downie, Stamkos · NJD White, Volchenkov, Clarkson, Pelley, Zharkov

  21. P2 2:44Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Roloson
  22. P2 3:05Shot by Hall, saved by Hedberg
  23. P2 3:10Shot by Purcell, saved by Hedberg
  24. P2 3:14Goal by Gagne, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Lecavalier, Gagne, Purcell, Hedman · NJD Rolston, Elias, Zubrus, Greene, Salmela

  25. P2 3:29Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Hedberg
  26. P2 4:57Shot by Downie, saved by Hedberg
  27. P2 5:56Shot by Arnott, saved by Roloson
  28. P2 6:53Shot by Hall, saved by Hedberg
  29. P2 9:14Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Hedberg
  30. P2 10:16Shot by Volchenkov, saved by Roloson
  31. P2 10:37Shot by Jones, saved by Hedberg
  32. P2 10:45Shot by Stamkos, saved by Hedberg
  33. P2 10:53Shot by Purcell, saved by Hedberg
  34. P2 11:30Shot by Jones, saved by Hedberg
  35. P2 14:03Shot by Elias, saved by Roloson
  36. P2 14:28Shot by Thompson, saved by Hedberg
  37. P2 14:44Shot by Purcell, saved by Hedberg
  38. P2 17:54Shot by Brewer, saved by Hedberg
  39. P2 18:51Arnott: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Bergeron, Downie, Stamkos · NJD Arnott, White, Volchenkov, Zharkov, Josefson

  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 0:25Shot by Bergeron, saved by Hedberg5v4
  43. P3 1:42Shot by Josefson, saved by Roloson
  44. P3 2:01Bergenheim: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Bergenheim, Thompson, Downie, Hedman · NJD Tallinder, Clarkson, Fayne, Pelley, Zharkov

  45. P3 2:28Shot by Zubrus, saved by Roloson4v5
  46. P3 3:31Tedenby: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Clark, Moore, Tyrell, Hedman · NJD Kovalchuk, Zajac, Fayne, Palmieri, Tedenby

  47. P3 3:44Shot by Brewer, saved by Hedberg4v4
  48. P3 5:35Shot by Kovalchuk, saved by Roloson
  49. P3 6:41Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Hedberg
  50. P3 8:13Goal by Fayne (Kovalchuk, Zajac)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Hedman · NJD Tallinder, Kovalchuk, Zajac, Fayne, Josefson

  51. P3 8:33Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Hedberg
  52. P3 9:03Shot by Gagne, saved by Hedberg
  53. P3 10:10Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Hedberg
  54. P3 11:26Shot by Salmela, saved by Roloson
  55. P3 11:58Shot by Brewer, saved by Hedberg
  56. P3 12:57Shot by Zajac, saved by Roloson
  57. P3 16:27Shot by Elias, saved by Roloson
  58. P3 17:50Shot by Tallinder, saved by Roloson
  59. P3 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Final