Sat, Feb 26, 2011·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Boston Bruins 3, Vancouver Canucks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 07 | 114 | 24 | 325 |
| VAN | 18 | 010 | 010 | 128 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:58VANManny MalhotraAssists: Raffi Torres, Christian Ehrhoff · Backhand, 0.20 xG0–1
- P2 9:56BOSNathan HortonAssists: Milan Lucic, Tomas Kaberle · Wrist, 0.38 xG1–1
- P3 15:22BOSMilan LucicGWGAssists: Dennis Seidenberg, David Krejci · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–1
- P3 18:47BOSPatrice BergeronENAssists: Milan Lucic · Wrist, 0.61 xG3–1
Penalties (5)
- P1 2:14VANJannik Hansen: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 6:29BOSBrad Marchand: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 2:57VANChristian Ehrhoff: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:20BOSBrad Marchand: Slashing2 min
- P3 11:10BOSGregory Campbell: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Kesler
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestHorton – Krejci – Lucic13:28
xG 0.90–0.31 (74%)attempts 16–12goals 2–0
- Ryder – Kelly – Peverley9:08
xG 0.15–0.14 (53%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Seguin5:21
xG 0.04–0.21 (15%)attempts 2–10goals 0–0
- Recchi – Bergeron – Marchand9:25
xG 0.13–0.70 (16%)attempts 9–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKaberle – McQuaid3:18
xG 0.50–0.10 (83%)attempts 3–3goals 1–0
- Chara – Boychuk9:15
xG 0.18–0.10 (63%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Chara – Seidenberg4:14
xG 0.06–0.07 (43%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMalhotra – Torres – Hansen9:25
xG 0.62–0.03 (95%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows11:40
xG 0.48–0.15 (76%)attempts 16–6goals 0–0
- Glass – Oreskovich – Hodgson3:23
xG 0.15–0.02 (89%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Samuelsson – Kesler – Glass5:53
xG 0.20–0.08 (71%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Ehrhoff15:14
xG 0.86–0.08 (92%)attempts 17–9goals 1–0
- Rome – Tanev11:15
xG 0.25–0.25 (50%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Salo – Ballard14:33
xG 0.43–0.95 (31%)attempts 15–18goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).