Tue, Mar 1, 2011·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Vancouver Canucks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 013 | 15 | 011 | 02 | 2 | 131 |
| VAN | 18 | 05 | 010 | 03 | 3 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:27VANMason RaymondAssists: Ryan Kesler, Sami Salo · Backhand, 0.07 xG0–1
- P2 7:11CBJScottie UpshallAssists: Samuel Pahlsson, Derek Dorsett · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Rick Nash scored
- 2. VAN Jeff Tambellini stopped
- 3. CBJ Scottie Upshall stopped
- 4. VAN Ryan Kesler stopped
- 5. CBJ Jakub Voracek stopped
- 6. VAN Mason Raymond scored
- 7. CBJ Matt Calvert stopped
- 8. VAN Daniel Sedin stopped
- 9. CBJ Antoine Vermette scored
- 10. VAN Alexandre Burrows scored
- 11. CBJ Fedor Tyutin stopped
- 12. VAN Mikael Samuelsson stopped
- 13. CBJ Derek MacKenzie stopped
- 14. VAN Henrik Sedin stopped
- 15. CBJ R.J. Umberger stopped
- 16. VAN Raffi Torres scored
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:17VANMaxim Lapierre: Holding2 min
- P2 1:30CBJKris Russell: Cross checking2 min
- P2 1:30VANMikael Samuelsson: Roughing2 min
- P2 7:56VANRyan Kesler: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 9:16CBJGrant Clitsome: Interference2 min
- P2 16:36VANChristian Ehrhoff: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:14VANAaron Rome: Illegal stick2 min
- P3 15:06CBJScottie Upshall: High sticking double minor4 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pahlsson won the faceoff against Malhotra
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestPahlsson – Upshall – Dorsett9:44
xG 0.95–0.10 (91%)attempts 13–4goals 1–0
- Pahlsson – Murray – Dorsett2:07
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Umberger – Calvert8:53
xG 0.21–0.24 (47%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
- Moreau – Murray – Boll6:27
xG 0.09–0.34 (22%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Methot13:20
xG 1.16–0.40 (74%)attempts 18–10goals 0–0
- Clitsome – Russell10:30
xG 0.34–0.26 (57%)attempts 13–12goals 1–0
- Hejda – Lepisto13:23
xG 0.16–0.40 (28%)attempts 3–9goals 0–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSamuelsson – Kesler – Raymond9:45
xG 0.48–0.04 (93%)attempts 12–4goals 1–0
- Malhotra – Torres – Hansen9:38
xG 0.12–0.26 (32%)attempts 5–14goals 0–0
- Samuelsson – Sedin – Sedin2:47
xG 0.00–0.18 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows9:22
xG 0.48–0.70 (40%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSalo – Rome4:06
xG 0.25–0.11 (70%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Salo – Ballard7:02
xG 0.24–0.16 (60%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Ballard – Tanev3:55
xG 0.04–0.04 (47%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).