Sun, Mar 6, 2011·Honda Center, Anaheim
Vancouver Canucks 3, Anaheim Ducks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 15 | 16 | 15 | 316 |
| ANA | 07 | 010 | 09 | 026 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:42VANManny MalhotraGWGAssists: Jannik Hansen, Raffi Torres · Snap, 0.04 xG1–0
- P2 0:17VANManny MalhotraAssists: Jannik Hansen · Snap, 0.09 xG2–0
- P3 6:06VANDaniel SedinPPAssists: Mikael Samuelsson, Henrik Sedin · Slap, 0.02 xG3–0
Penalties (13)
- P1 9:59VANJannik Hansen: Interference2 min
- P1 18:02VANSami Salo: Interference2 min
- P2 7:40ANACorey Perry: Charging2 min
- P2 16:48VANKeith Ballard: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P2 18:17ANATeemu Selanne: Slashing2 min
- P2 18:41VANChristian Ehrhoff: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:38ANABrandon McMillan: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 17:29VANKeith Ballard: Kneeing2 min
- P3 17:29ANASheldon Brookbank: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:40ANACorey Perry: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:02ANAFrancois Beauchemin: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:02VANAaron Rome: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:02VANAaron Rome: Elbowing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Malhotra won the faceoff against Marchant
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSamuelsson – Kesler – Raymond6:09
xG 0.17–0.01 (94%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Malhotra – Torres – Hansen10:14
xG 0.29–0.20 (59%)attempts 6–7goals 2–0
- Tambellini – Lapierre – Glass6:05
xG 0.12–0.05 (70%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Samuelsson – Kesler – Glass2:37
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Ehrhoff9:46
xG 0.38–0.05 (88%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Ballard – Tanev8:34
xG 0.30–0.03 (90%)attempts 5–4goals 1–0
- Ehrhoff – Ballard3:09
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestWinchester – Getzlaf – Perry6:46
xG 0.39–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–0goals 0–0
- Selanne – Ruutu – McMillan2:39
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Selanne – Ryan – McMillan3:29
xG 0.02–0.04 (30%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Marchant – Ruutu – Sexton6:41
xG 0.11–0.20 (35%)attempts 3–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLydman – Visnovsky12:51
xG 0.52–0.21 (71%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Lilja – Fowler10:16
xG 0.11–0.24 (31%)attempts 5–8goals 0–2
- Beauchemin – Sbisa8:08
xG 0.03–0.27 (9%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).