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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 11, 2011·Verizon Center, Washington

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Washington Capitals 2

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

1

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 60% of the time.

WSH winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:15Shot by Staal, saved by Holtby
  3. P1 0:43Shot by Cole, saved by Holtby
  4. P1 1:49Shot by Harrison, saved by Holtby
  5. P1 2:38Shot by LaRose, saved by Holtby
  6. P1 3:36Shot by Harrison, saved by Holtby
  7. P1 4:09Shot by Sturm, saved by Ward
  8. P1 4:31Shot by Jokinen, saved by Holtby
  9. P1 4:46Shot by Fehr, saved by Ward
  10. P1 7:32Shot by Skinner, saved by Holtby
  11. P1 8:08Shot by McBain, saved by Holtby
  12. P1 8:26Shot by Sutter, saved by Holtby
  13. P1 8:44Shot by Skinner, saved by Holtby
  14. P1 8:56Fehr: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Laich, Wideman, Fehr, Schultz · CAR Corvo, Allen, Cole, Jokinen, Skinner

  15. P1 10:21Shot by Chimera, saved by Ward4v5
  16. P1 10:45Shot by Hendricks, saved by Ward4v5
  17. P1 12:30Shot by Sturm, saved by Ward
  18. P1 12:53Shot by Fehr, saved by Ward
  19. P1 12:54Chimera: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Laich, Wideman, Fehr, Schultz · CAR Corvo, Allen, Dwyer, Bodie, Bowman

  20. P1 13:13Shot by Staal, saved by Holtby4v5
  21. P1 13:27Shot by Corvo, saved by Holtby4v5
  22. P1 14:09Skinner: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Hannan, Erskine, Laich, Johansson · CAR Cole, Gleason, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Skinner

  23. P1 14:25Shot by Carlson, saved by Ward4v4
  24. P1 17:05Shot by Laich, saved by Ward
  25. P1 18:20Shot by Corvo, saved by Holtby
  26. P1 19:17Staal: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Arnott, Wideman, Semin, Ovechkin, Schultz · CAR Stillman, Allen, Ruutu, Harrison, Staal

  27. P1 19:23Shot by Arnott, saved by Ward5v4
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:45Shot by Cole, saved by Holtby5v4
  31. P2 0:55Semin: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Arnott, Laich, Wideman, Semin, Ovechkin · CAR Corvo, Allen, Cole, Jokinen

  32. P2 4:07Shot by Harrison, saved by Holtby
  33. P2 4:21Shot by Dwyer, saved by Holtby
  34. P2 4:36Shot by Corvo, saved by Holtby
  35. P2 4:57Shot by Chimera, saved by Ward
  36. P2 5:04Shot by Dwyer, saved by Holtby
  37. P2 5:51Shot by Hendricks, saved by Ward
  38. P2 6:13Shot by Stillman, saved by Holtby
  39. P2 7:25Shot by Skinner, saved by Holtby
  40. P2 7:45Shot by Arnott, saved by Ward
  41. P2 8:54Shot by Ruutu, saved by Holtby
  42. P2 10:22Shot by Hendricks, saved by Ward
  43. P2 12:00Shot by Laich, saved by Ward
  44. P2 13:05Shot by Knuble, saved by Ward
  45. P2 13:58Shot by Cole, saved by Holtby
  46. P2 15:06Shot by Semin, saved by Ward
  47. P2 15:18Shot by Erskine, saved by Ward
  48. P2 17:55Shot by Bradley, saved by Ward
  49. P2 18:04Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Holtby
  50. P2 18:10Shot by Bodie, saved by Holtby
  51. P2 18:33Shot by Arnott, saved by Ward
  52. P2 19:24Goal by Ruutu (Stillman, Allen)+29 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Laich, Fehr, Alzner, Carlson · CAR Stillman, Allen, Ruutu, Harrison, Staal

  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:40Shot by Sutter, saved by Holtby
  56. P3 0:47Goal by Ovechkin (Johansson, Knuble)+29 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Knuble, Ovechkin, Alzner, Carlson, Johansson · CAR Corvo, LaRose, Pitkanen, Tlusty, Sutter

  57. P3 3:41Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Holtby
  58. P3 4:55Shot by Cole, saved by Holtby
  59. P3 5:03Shot by Cole, saved by Holtby
  60. P3 5:04Shot by Cole, saved by Holtby
  61. P3 5:13Shot by Cole, saved by Holtby
  62. P3 5:14Arnott: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Knuble, Arnott, Sturm, Wideman, Schultz · CAR Corvo, Allen, Cole, Jokinen, Skinner

  63. P3 5:30Shot by Corvo, saved by Holtby4v5
  64. P3 7:23Shot by Arnott, saved by Ward
  65. P3 7:24Goal by Hendricks (Arnott)+31 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Arnott, Hendricks, Wideman, Gordon, Schultz · CAR Gleason, Harrison, Jokinen, Tlusty, Skinner

  66. P3 8:50Shot by Ruutu, saved by Holtby
  67. P3 9:27Shot by Allen, saved by Holtby
  68. P3 10:04Shot by Gordon, saved by Ward
  69. P3 10:29Shot by Gordon, saved by Ward
  70. P3 10:37Shot by Bradley, saved by Ward
  71. P3 10:57Shot by Schultz, saved by Ward
  72. P3 12:54Shot by Ruutu, saved by Holtby
  73. P3 13:02Shot by Ruutu, saved by Holtby
  74. P3 14:10Shot by Jokinen, saved by Holtby
  75. P3 14:45Bradley: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Bradley, Hendricks, Alzner, Carlson, Johansson · CAR Corvo, Cole, Jokinen, Pitkanen, Skinner

  76. P3 17:02Shot by Stillman, saved by Holtby
  77. P3 17:23Shot by Stillman, saved by Holtby
  78. P3 18:04Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Holtby
  79. P3 18:25Shot by Corvo, saved by Holtby5v6
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final