Thu, Mar 17, 2011·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
St. Louis Blues 4, Los Angeles Kings 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 92% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 113 | 117 | 29 | 439 |
| LAK | 02 | 04 | 011 | 017 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:30STLMatt D'AgostiniGWGAssists: Adam Cracknell, Roman Polak · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–0
- P2 19:53STLMatt D'AgostiniAssists: Andy McDonald, David Backes · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–0
- P3 5:09STLAlex PietrangeloUnassisted · Slap, 0.01 xG3–0
- P3 12:39STLT.J. OshieAssists: Chris Porter, Alex Pietrangelo · Backhand, 0.02 xG4–0
Penalties (8)
- P1 2:03STLCam Janssen: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:03LAKKevin Westgarth: Fighting5 min
- P1 3:28STLIan Cole: High sticking2 min
- P1 11:46LAKRob Scuderi: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 16:54LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P1 16:54STLRyan Reaves: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:58LAKJack Johnson: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 7:47LAKKevin Westgarth: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Backes won the faceoff against Handzus
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestMcDonald – Backes – D'Agostini12:13
xG 1.11–0.09 (92%)attempts 12–13goals 2–0
- Cracknell – Stewart – Berglund9:54
xG 0.30–0.19 (61%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Janssen – Hensick – Reaves4:10
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Crombeen – Porter – Oshie12:47
xG 0.29–0.27 (52%)attempts 12–15goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestCole – Shattenkirk13:11
xG 1.09–0.63 (63%)attempts 14–16goals 0–0
- Colaiacovo – Pietrangelo14:46
xG 0.39–0.18 (68%)attempts 14–15goals 2–0
- Polak – Cole5:36
xG 0.16–0.08 (65%)attempts 3–7goals 1–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- Smyth – Stoll – Brown13:36
xG 0.25–0.24 (52%)attempts 14–14goals 0–2
- Handzus – Ponikarovsky – Simmonds8:27
xG 0.09–0.38 (19%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Williams – Penner – Kopitar13:24
xG 0.53–1.12 (32%)attempts 17–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestScuderi – Martinez2:52
xG 0.27–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Scuderi – Johnson13:27
xG 0.25–0.27 (48%)attempts 10–13goals 0–0
- Greene – Martinez12:01
xG 0.15–0.50 (23%)attempts 11–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 92% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).