Thu, Mar 24, 2011·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
San Jose Sharks 3, Los Angeles Kings 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 09 | 14 | 213 | 02 | 1 | 328 |
| LAK | 013 | 214 | 17 | 04 | 2 | 438 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:35SJSJoe PavelskiPPAssists: Patrick Marleau, Joe Thornton · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–0
- P2 7:18LAKDustin BrownPPAssists: Alexei Ponikarovsky, Alec Martinez · Backhand, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 9:07LAKWillie MitchellAssists: Oscar Moller, Ryan Smyth · Slap, 0.13 xG1–2
- P3 16:28SJSPatrick MarleauAssists: Jason Demers · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–2
- P3 18:18LAKDustin BrownPPAssists: Michal Handzus, Alec Martinez · Slap, 0.07 xG2–3
- P3 19:55SJSPatrick MarleauAssists: Ryane Clowe, Logan Couture · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. LAK Michal Handzus stopped
- 2. SJS Dan Boyle scored
- 3. LAK Jarret Stoll scored
- 4. SJS Logan Couture stopped
- 5. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 6. SJS Ryane Clowe stopped
- 7. LAK Dustin Penner stopped
- 8. SJS Joe Pavelski stopped
- 9. LAK Dustin Brown scored
- 10. SJS Patrick Marleau stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 5:35SJSIan White: Interference2 min
- P1 19:33LAKJarret Stoll: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 5:40SJSJamal Mayers: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
- P2 14:40SJSRyane Clowe: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:49SJSRyane Clowe: Holding2 min
- P3 0:51LAKAlexei Ponikarovsky: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:01LAKAlec Martinez: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:05SJSJoe Thornton: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stoll won the faceoff against Thornton
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHeatley – Clowe – Couture11:38
xG 0.63–0.15 (80%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Wellwood – Pavelski – Mitchell11:01
xG 0.49–0.18 (73%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Mayers – Eager – Desjardins3:20
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Thornton – Marleau – Setoguchi12:39
xG 0.40–0.68 (37%)attempts 11–14goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestBoyle – Murray14:55
xG 0.83–0.13 (86%)attempts 20–10goals 0–0
- White – Demers13:28
xG 0.64–0.56 (53%)attempts 12–13goals 1–1
- Wallin – Braun10:46
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- Richardson – Lewis – Clifford5:14
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Richardson – Simmonds – Clifford2:00
xG 0.09–0.09 (50%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Smyth – Handzus – Brown9:15
xG 0.01–0.15 (8%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
- Ponikarovsky – Stoll – Simmonds7:53
xG 0.05–0.29 (15%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestScuderi – Greene6:03
xG 0.27–0.04 (88%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Scuderi – Johnson11:45
xG 0.24–0.32 (43%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Doughty15:32
xG 0.50–0.59 (46%)attempts 11–14goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).