Thu, Mar 31, 2011·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Los Angeles Kings 1, Vancouver Canucks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 87% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 111 | 08 | 00 | 119 |
| VAN | 07 | 212 | 116 | 335 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:09LAKKyle CliffordAssists: Drew Doughty, Brad Richardson · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P2 15:06VANDaniel SedinAssists: Victor Oreskovich · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P2 19:59VANChristian EhrhoffGWGAssists: Jannik Hansen · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P3 15:34VANRyan KeslerPPAssists: Daniel Sedin, Sami Salo · Wrist, 0.28 xG1–3
Penalties (9)
- P1 7:27VANHenrik Sedin: Hooking2 min
- P1 10:26VANHenrik Sedin: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:03LAKOscar Moller: High sticking2 min
- P2 11:21VANAaron Rome: Boarding2 min
- P3 5:45LAKDrew Doughty: Roughing2 min
- P3 13:36LAKKyle Clifford: Checking from behind5 min · PPG
- P3 13:36LAKKyle Clifford: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 14:13LAKMatt Greene: Cross checking2 min
- P3 19:52LAKDrew Doughty: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Lewis
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestRichardson – Westgarth – Clifford6:03
xG 0.31–0.04 (89%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Ponikarovsky – Stoll – Simmonds6:54
xG 0.16–0.35 (31%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
- Handzus – Penner – Moller6:08
xG 0.08–0.39 (16%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
- Smyth – Brown – Lewis13:25
xG 0.17–0.66 (20%)attempts 4–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Greene – Martinez8:24
xG 0.11–0.11 (49%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Doughty14:57
xG 0.50–0.56 (47%)attempts 9–15goals 1–2
- Mitchell – Scuderi2:07
xG 0.00–0.16 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestTorres – Hansen – Raymond7:58
xG 0.76–0.19 (80%)attempts 14–3goals 1–0
- Higgins – Kesler – Tambellini9:37
xG 0.57–0.09 (87%)attempts 14–5goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows10:12
xG 0.48–0.24 (67%)attempts 12–3goals 0–1
- Lapierre – Bolduc – Oreskovich6:26
xG 0.23–0.10 (69%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBieksa – Rome13:50
xG 0.99–0.04 (96%)attempts 19–1goals 1–1
- Salo – Ehrhoff11:15
xG 0.26–0.09 (75%)attempts 13–4goals 1–0
- Ballard – Tanev9:51
xG 0.31–0.23 (58%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 87% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).