Fri, Apr 1, 2011·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 210 | 07 | 19 | 03 | 1 | 429 |
| CBJ | 115 | 114 | 14 | 01 | 0 | 334 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:41CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Chris Campoli, Nick Leddy · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–0
- P1 5:49CHIBrent SeabrookPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Marian Hossa · Snap, 0.10 xG2–0
- P1 9:17CBJMaksim MayorovAssists: Anton Stralman, Antoine Vermette · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–1
- P2 14:07CBJDerick BrassardPPAssists: Anton Stralman, Antoine Vermette · Slap, 0.15 xG2–2
- P3 13:22CBJSamuel PahlssonAssists: Anton Stralman, Sami Lepisto · Deflected, 0.09 xG2–3
- P3 14:57CHIBryan BickellAssists: Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Maksim Mayorov stopped
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
- 3. CBJ Tomas Kubalik stopped
- 4. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 5. CBJ Jakub Voracek stopped
- 6. CHI Viktor Stalberg scored
Penalties (12)
- P1 5:33CBJJared Boll: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 10:31CHIDuncan Keith: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:55CBJAnton Stralman: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:05CBJJan Hejda: Elbowing2 min
- P2 3:00CHIPatrick Kane: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 9:44CHIJonathan Toews: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:44CBJDerek Dorsett: Cross checking2 min
- P2 9:44CBJDerek Dorsett: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:18CHIMichael Frolik: Interference2 min
- P2 13:18CHIMarian Hossa: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P2 13:34CHINiklas Hjalmarsson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 17:05CHITomas Kopecky: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Pahlsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBickell – Toews – Kane11:10
xG 0.65–0.22 (75%)attempts 12–9goals 2–0
- Johnson – Stalberg – Frolik3:54
xG 0.07–0.01 (86%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Hossa – Stalberg – Frolik2:08
xG 0.02–0.02 (56%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Johnson – Hossa – Kopecky2:04
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook10:55
xG 0.57–0.30 (66%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Campbell – Campoli9:19
xG 0.35–0.15 (70%)attempts 11–4goals 1–0
- Campbell – Hjalmarsson8:59
xG 0.28–0.19 (59%)attempts 3–5goals 0–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestPahlsson – Upshall – Dorsett8:25
xG 0.58–0.09 (86%)attempts 13–4goals 1–1
- MacKenzie – Boll – Mayorov5:32
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Vermette – Calvert – Kubalik9:39
xG 0.04–0.32 (10%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
- Umberger – Brassard – Voracek8:31
xG 0.17–0.53 (24%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHejda – Stralman3:47
xG 0.32–0.15 (69%)attempts 7–4goals 0–1
- Russell – Stralman5:21
xG 0.12–0.07 (61%)attempts 3–5goals 1–0
- Hejda – Methot2:14
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).