Wed, Apr 6, 2011·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Phoenix Coyotes 2, Los Angeles Kings 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 212 | 010 | 09 | 04 | 1 | 235 |
| LAK | 19 | 112 | 012 | 00 | 2 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:21LAKJarret StollAssists: Dustin Brown · Backhand, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 14:00PHXLee StempniakAssists: Taylor Pyatt, Vernon Fiddler · Slap, 0.07 xG1–1
- P1 17:58PHXTaylor PyattAssists: Lee Stempniak, Vernon Fiddler · Snap, 0.32 xG2–1
- P2 17:03LAKKyle CliffordAssists: Wayne Simmonds, Rob Scuderi · Tip-in, 0.16 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. LAK Michal Handzus scored
- 2. PHX Eric Belanger stopped
- 3. LAK Jarret Stoll scored
- 4. PHX Radim Vrbata scored
- 5. LAK Dustin Brown stopped
- 6. PHX Lauri Korpikoski stopped
Penalties (5)
- P1 7:51LAKJarret Stoll: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:21LAKMatt Greene: Interference2 min
- P2 8:11PHXAdrian Aucoin: Interference2 min
- P2 14:14PHXShane Doan: Interference2 min
- P3 3:22PHXDerek Morris: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Fiddler won the faceoff against Richardson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestPyatt – Fiddler – Stempniak10:57
xG 0.54–0.41 (57%)attempts 10–14goals 2–0
- Bissonnette – Ebbett – Turris3:57
xG 0.15–0.23 (39%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Whitney – Doan – Belanger15:32
xG 0.49–0.67 (42%)attempts 15–14goals 0–0
- Vrbata – Korpikoski – Ebbett3:49
xG 0.02–0.20 (8%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Jovanovski – Rozsival11:04
xG 0.18–0.20 (48%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Aucoin – Jovanovski2:00
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Aucoin – Klesla12:31
xG 0.41–0.64 (39%)attempts 8–15goals 1–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestRichardson – Simmonds – Clifford13:57
xG 0.72–0.17 (81%)attempts 19–9goals 1–0
- Handzus – Penner – Moller11:55
xG 0.69–0.26 (73%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Smyth – Stoll – Brown11:14
xG 0.57–0.27 (68%)attempts 13–9goals 1–1
- Ponikarovsky – Lewis – Westgarth2:50
xG 0.00–0.42 (0%)attempts 0–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Martinez13:16
xG 0.73–0.34 (68%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Scuderi – Doughty17:35
xG 0.69–0.52 (57%)attempts 17–15goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Scuderi2:03
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).