Sun, Apr 10, 2011·Prudential Center, Newark
Boston Bruins 2, New Jersey Devils 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 111 | 01 | 114 | 226 |
| NJD | 114 | 010 | 28 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:47NJDPatrik EliasAssists: Brian Rolston, Henrik Tallinder · Snap, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 10:04BOSRich PeverleyAssists: Michael Ryder, Andrew Ference · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P3 4:00NJDVladimir ZharkovAssists: Anssi Salmela · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
- P3 9:10NJDAlexander UrbomGWGAssists: Jacob Josefson, David Clarkson · Wrap-around, 0.03 xG1–3
- P3 19:56BOSChris KellyAssists: Dennis Seidenberg, Johnny Boychuk · Tip-in, 0.09 xG2–3
Penalties (3)
- P1 7:58NJDAndy Greene: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:01BOSTyler Seguin: Tripping2 min
- P3 0:42NJDHenrik Tallinder: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Campbell
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestRyder – Kelly – Peverley11:13
xG 0.33–0.11 (75%)attempts 9–4goals 1–1
- Horton – Krejci – Lucic12:23
xG 0.22–0.35 (39%)attempts 6–12goals 0–1
- Bergeron – Marchand – Seguin11:26
xG 0.20–0.36 (35%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Paille13:25
xG 0.53–1.03 (34%)attempts 8–18goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSeidenberg – Boychuk18:46
xG 0.91–0.66 (58%)attempts 16–19goals 1–2
- Hnidy – Ference13:08
xG 0.19–0.28 (41%)attempts 5–8goals 0–1
- Kaberle – McQuaid15:47
xG 0.07–0.84 (8%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestMair – Pelley – Zharkov7:36
xG 0.90–0.55 (62%)attempts 12–6goals 1–0
- Rolston – Elias – Tedenby14:22
xG 0.34–0.18 (66%)attempts 13–5goals 1–1
- Clarkson – Henrique – Josefson9:50
xG 0.18–0.03 (86%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
- Kovalchuk – Zajac – Palmieri12:16
xG 0.33–0.34 (49%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFayne – Urbom15:14
xG 0.75–0.27 (74%)attempts 11–14goals 1–0
- Tallinder – Salmela16:37
xG 0.58–0.33 (63%)attempts 13–7goals 2–1
- Fraser – Greene18:03
xG 0.63–0.71 (47%)attempts 19–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).