Sat, Oct 15, 2011·United Center, Chicago
Boston Bruins 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 013 | 110 | 110 | 04 | 1 | 337 |
| CHI | 113 | 17 | 07 | 02 | 0 | 229 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:21CHIBryan BickellUnassisted · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–1
- P2 1:33BOSChris KellySHAssists: Rich Peverley, Andrew Ference · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
- P2 2:51CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Sean O'Donnell, Patrick Sharp · Snap, 0.18 xG1–2
- P3 7:56BOSNathan HortonAssists: Johnny Boychuk, Tyler Seguin · Slap, 0.15 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
- 2. BOS Tyler Seguin scored
- 3. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 4. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
- 5. CHI Patrick Sharp stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 7:48BOSGregory Campbell: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:48CHIJamal Mayers: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:17CHIViktor Stalberg: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:24BOSNathan Horton: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 14:29CHIMichael Frolik: Boarding2 min
- P3 0:09BOSPatrice Bergeron: Boarding2 min
- P3 16:25BOSBenoit Pouliot: High sticking2 min
- P3 17:33CHIPatrick Sharp: Holding the stick2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bolland won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Peverley – Marchand11:55
xG 0.71–0.18 (80%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Paille7:28
xG 0.38–0.34 (53%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Horton – Lucic – Seguin12:34
xG 0.50–0.56 (47%)attempts 11–12goals 1–0
- Kelly – Pouliot – Caron6:33
xG 0.05–0.17 (24%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFerence – Bartkowski4:14
xG 0.57–0.18 (76%)attempts 7–3goals 0–1
- Seidenberg – Boychuk4:47
xG 0.46–0.07 (86%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Ference – Boychuk2:27
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 1–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestCarcillo – Stalberg – Kane10:09
xG 0.46–0.34 (57%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Brunette – Sharp – Toews10:23
xG 0.36–0.46 (44%)attempts 15–9goals 0–1
- Mayers – Scott – Kruger5:04
xG 0.04–0.14 (23%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Bolland – Bickell – Frolik10:23
xG 0.08–0.58 (13%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeabrook – Hjalmarsson16:07
xG 0.65–0.47 (58%)attempts 13–16goals 1–0
- O'Donnell – Montador13:15
xG 0.64–0.52 (55%)attempts 13–12goals 1–0
- Keith – Leddy16:18
xG 0.56–1.12 (33%)attempts 18–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).